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A TreeHouse Grows in Dallas

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

Imagine if Home Depot and Whole Foods decided to open a store together…and got Deepak Chopra to run it.

What you’d have is something not all that dissimilar from TreeHouse, a new home improvement store that opened for business in Dallas last month. While there is an original TreeHouse in Austin, the Dallas store is the first built from scratch and represents the personification of what this proudly and self-described new age retailer is all about.

“TreeHouse is built upon the idea that all homes should be sustainable, beautiful and healthy,” the store describes itself on its website. “We bring progressive products, great design, human-centered services and leading edge technology together under one roof.” Located in a North Dallas strip mall that is undergoing its own coming of new age, the store you’ll find under that one roof has the same attributes as TreeHouse prescribes for its customers’ homes: sustainable, beautiful and healthy. It describes the new Dallas location as the “world’s first energy positive home improvement chain,” and while there was no voltmeter handy to verify the claim, the massive Tesla battery storage unit at the center of the store didn’t seem to be just decorative.

TreeHouse is serious about this energy saving thing. Various parts of the store have motion-activated lighting, solar panels on the rooftop handle the energy needs and even the actual siting of the store takes into account sun movement and direction. Inside the 35,000-square-foot store – actually about 10,000 of those square feet are located outside in a garden section – you’ll find the traditional home improvement and do-it-yourself departments: kitchen cabinets and major appliances, floor coverings, lighting, paint, building materials and air and water treatment.

But instead of the towering racks and stacks that characterize most stores in the genre, TreeHouse has a decidedly open feeling with spacious displays and what would be wide aisles…if there were any aisles to begin with. Departments flow from one to another, more like an indoor amusement park than a retail store. The products themselves are unlikely to be found under your typical orange Depot roof. They are not just green, they are gluten-free green, with back-stories and social benefits you didn’t even know you were in favor of.

CEO and co-founder Jason Ballard sets the tone for the merchandising philosophy on the company’s website, saying he “wanted to build a place that enabled and empowered people to reimagine their homes towards a true north of sustainability, beauty and health.” The Texas native, who studied ecology and biology –not things you’ll find on too many retail resumes – says he saw TreeHouse as an alternative to the DIY status quo. “Home improvement is in need of a rethink,” he writes on the site. “Products and services often fall short of our needs and expectations in quality, health and sustainability. TreeHouse is reinventing home improvement.”

As with any store looking to play the experience card, TreeHouse has space for classes, lectures and how-to sessions. And the staff, at least on one visit, was overwhelmingly friendly, helpful and eager to help a visitor drink up the Kool-Aid.

TreeHouse has a second Dallas area store, in Plano, in the works and one has to assume there will be more. The big question is the one facing any retail startup: Will it be enough to sustain a retail business as well as it does the environment?

Warren Shoulberg is editorial director for several Progressive Business Media publications in the home furnishings industry. He is not currently in the market for a composting station.

The post A TreeHouse Grows in Dallas appeared first on The Robin Report - .


Costco’s Peculiar Online Strategy

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

Costco may be crazy like a fox.

Costco Wholesale is a huge and successful retailer. Yet there are a few recent signs that it might be increasingly difficult for Costco to maintain and grow revenue in the future as it has in the past. That hasn’t stopped Costco and it certainly isn’t sitting around waiting for that to happen. Instead, it is moving in new directions. It is also boosting its hugely successful Kirkland Signature private brand by making it available on websites that are competitive with Costco itself. At first glance, that seems pretty counterintuitive. We’ll take a closer look at this odd strategy, but first let’s consider some background about Costco.

  • Costco, based near Seattle, is the most successful membership club. It has been wildly popular for many years, attracting a loyal following, especially among affluent suburban shoppers who like to stock up on super-large-sized commodity items, such as paper goods and food.
  • This model works well, obviating shoppers’ hassle of having to search frequently for basic consumables.
  • A key Costco benefit is that with its limited selection of 3,800 SKUs, shoppers have fewer buying decisions.
  • Shoppers have come to trust that goods bought at Costco represent the best quality at the lowest possible price. The halo effect is that its Kirkland private brand is also seen by shoppers as a great value. Natural and organic Kirkland food products have been particularly successful for Costco.

Costco’s Wallop

Costco packs a variety of goods into its product range. Beyond food, there is apparel, footwear, consumer electronics, jewelry, optical, pharmacy and much more. All those goods are packed into warehouses of about 145,000 square feet. Costco runs a total of 730 warehouses, most in the U.S. but some elsewhere such as Canada, Europe, Asia and Mexico.
With its broad array of products, Costco looks a little like other retail channels, notably department and consumer-electronics stores. Because of its low prices, it is a competitor to mass and discount. So Costco is pretty much competitive with everyone.

Costco has prospered since it was founded by way of a merger in 1983. In its early years, Costco grew sales at a prodigious rate on a year-over-year basis. Its annual sales volume is now about $120 billion, making it second only to Walmart, as measured by gross sales and by food and consumable sales. Sales of Kirkland brand product are nearly $25 billion a year, making it one of the biggest brands of any type. Its ubiquity blurs the line between private label and a national brand.

Swamping Competitors

Costco’s chief competitor is Walmart’s Sam’s Club, which Costco easily outdistances by producing more than twice the sales volume with about 150 fewer clubs. Some Costco warehouses have daily sales nearing $1 million per day.

Membership fees are very important to all clubs, but especially to Costco because of its vast size. It has about 85 million members paying either $55 annually for a membership, or twice that for a higher-tier membership that offers a 2 percent rebate on most purchases. In June, those fees are slated to increase. The lower-tier membership will rise to $60. The upper-tier membership to $120. This move will allow Costco to increase margin in a fairly painless way from the viewpoint to its members.

Those fees constitute about 75 percent of Costco’s profitability, which substantially unburdens the contribution product sales must make to profitability. Fees also front-load revenue production, which means members contribute to Costco’s bottom line before they purchase a single product. So fees are key to low prices, and low prices are what underpin the entire club business model. Clearly, if a disruptor emerged that undermined the viability of the fee concept, Costco would be in big trouble.

Trouble Afoot

As it happens, there is trouble afoot and—not too surprisingly—it’s Amazon Prime and its $99 per year membership program. Amazon Prime, by the way, was modeled after the membership-club fee system, and scaled up on steroids.

Let’s see how Amazon Prime stacks up against a Costco membership, and what early indications suggest about consumer response.

  • Amazon Prime offers several perks, such as two-day free shipping of a majority of goods. Prime also includes streaming music and video, a book-lending library for Kindle owners, and Alexa.
  • At first glance, it might seem that Amazon Prime has a big advantage; in particular, streaming and the lending library are features that Costco will never match. Amazon’s free shipping is highly valued by many consumers, although you might wonder if the higher Prime membership is enough to offset the shipping offer.
  • Nothing on Amazon goes on sale. Costco members are entitled to that 2 percent rebate for the highest-tier membership rank.
  • Costco’s biggest advantage is that, very broadly speaking, its prices are noticeably below those of Amazon. Plus, Costco’s position in the marketplace is protected by its very large corps of loyal members. Costco also functions as a cash-and-carry wholesaler for many small business owners. That feature can’t be matched in any substantial way by Amazon Prime. Yet.

Customers React

So, given those comparisons, how are consumers reacting? Current research shows that Amazon Prime is challenging Costco. Households only holding an Amazon Prime membership went from 7.1 percent four years ago to 13 percent now. Households holding only a Costco membership went from 14.9 percent four years ago to 9.8 percent now. Costco’s revenue has slipped to 1.3 percent in its most recent fiscal year after being quite a bit higher for many years. That metric might be lower if it weren’t for Costco’s new-warehouse rollouts.

The bottom line? Costco’s business model is starting to erode. What can Costco do to retain members? One obvious way is to offer its own online proposition. Costco does have an online business, but it lacks Amazon’s sophistication and is far from being a market leader among all online retailers. Costco is still grappling with basics such as establishing multiple shipping depots to reduce delivery time. Plus it’s still figuring out how to simplify the online checkout process. Lots of other retailers cleared those hurdles some time ago.

Sleeping With the Enemy

Now, here’s where things get strange. Curiously—and as if from a parallel universe—several hundred SKUs of Costco’s hugely successful Kirkland brand are offered for sale on Amazon, including the all-important food category. And many of these items qualify for no-cost shipping with Amazon Prime. So now shoppers have ready access to Costco’s crown-jewel brand without needing a Costco membership, and they’re incentivized to get an Amazon Prime membership to enjoy the shipping perk.

Why is Costco sleeping with the enemy, or to be more precise, the enemies? It’s “enemies” because several other web-based retailers sell hundreds of Kirkland brands.

Most surprising of all is that more than 600 SKUs of Kirkland product in more than a dozen categories, including food, can be found on Walmart.com. Hundreds of Kirkland products are also on the Walmart-owned Jet.com site. That’s not all. Kirkland is also on Google Shopping Express, Instacart, and Boxed.com. Global exposure is afforded by Alibaba’s Global Tmall, which also carries Kirkland.

What Costco Teaches Everyone Else

Let’s take a stab at fathoming the meaning of these Kirkland online sales. It’s a frequently cited truism in retailing that the best time to shore up a business is not when it’s failing, but when it’s still doing pretty well. It may be that Costco is spreading the Kirkland brand far and wide as a bulwark against the day that membership revenue goes into significant decline.

Experimenting with its own future, Costco plans to open soon a small-version warehouse in Iceland. The membership fee there will be lower than it is elsewhere. This suggests there’s flexibility in Costco’s core and how Costco might enter certain markets in the future. This flexibility is something that could be emulated by many retailers.

Some retailers have pinned hopes for their future on private brands. The now-declining Whole Foods is rolling out a few off-price, private-label “365 by Whole Foods” small format units as part of a turnaround strategy. Loblaw enjoyed quite a bit of success for a long while with its private brand “Joe Fresh” stores. Sears, too, is in the process of wringing capital out of its iconic private brand Craftsman by selling it. But that’s more of a tactic in the slow-motion liquidation of the company than a real strategy.

Costco could conceivably open Kirkland stores, although the presence in the market of 350 or so Kirkland’s (Costco unaffiliated) home decor stores could be a problem.

Finally, as if we needed any further proof, Costco demonstrates anew being victim of disruptors that can creep up on any business, no matter how successful. Costco’s declining revenues suggest that apparel and other items common to department, mass, discount and electronics stores are slipping. Food sales, which constitute the majority of Costco’s revenue, are holding steady.

So Costco is now poised to experience some of the woes being visited on other brick-and-mortar retail channels. Maybe Costco’s preemptive online strategy isn’t so strange after all.

The post Costco’s Peculiar Online Strategy appeared first on The Robin Report - .

An Anthropology Study

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

Anthropology is the study of how human societies interact. Anthropologie is a case study of how certain human societies shop for home products. What a difference a few letters make.

Anthropologie, the upstairs neighbor in the Urban Outfitters hierarchy of store brands, is attempting to do something that is virtually unprecedented in the world of retailing: take a brand that has been largely fashion driven, with a smattering of home, and substantially up the home furnishings quotient.

While mixing home products into an apparel environment has been the foundation of general merchandise stores, be it a department store or a discounter, it is a fairly unusual concept in the world of specialty store chains. Some people may remember that several retail lifetimes ago, Pier One used to carry some clothing. They disappeared a long time ago, replaced by endless riffs on candles, drinkware and poorly made small tables.

In the reverse equation, perhaps you recall that fashion retailers like The Gap, Victoria’s Secret and Banana Republic have dabbled in home products from time to time, usually with equally as dismal results. The fact of the matter is that home and fashion are two very different animals: different supply chains, different sell-through rates, different turns, different markdown structures, and very different in-store/online shopping experiences. There are good reasons why IKEA doesn’t have a junior sportswear department and Uniqlo isn’t selling toaster ovens.

Urban Legends

Urban Outfitters, from the start, had a different strategy. In both its namesake division and Anthropologie, there has always been a home furnishings component, mostly centered around textiles and decorative accessories like candles, wall art and assorted novelty paraphernalia. More recently, Urban has added a significant amount of home to its online business, moving into furniture like sofas and tables and serious tabletop offerings. Anthropologie kept its home story somewhat more modest, both in-store and online. It has tended more to home accent décor merchandise with a little bit of furniture and some textiles.

Not that that was always the case. The first Anthro store, opened in 1992 in Wayne, Pennsylvania—not too far from current corporate headquarters in downtown Philadelphia—featured a near-50/50 split of home and fashion. Founder Richard Haynes always positioned the brand as a step up from the original Urban unit, which appeals to a 20-something shopper who may or may not be living in their parents’ basement. The Anthro customer target was older—30-45, with a corresponding older taste and income level. Before not too long, fashion took over the store, resulting in a more recent 80/20 apparel/home split. Corporation-wise, counting Urban and the Free People fashion unit, which doesn’t carry any furnishings, home accounts for about 17 percent of overall sales, which last year were nearly $3.5 billion. It has not been smooth sailing for the company over the past several years. The stock is sitting near recent historical lows and comments from Haynes about the general retail malaise haven’t helped.

Furnishing a Solution

Even if Wall Street isn’t drinking the Kool-Aid yet, Urban clearly sees home as part of the solution. Last September Haynes told analysts that it would significantly up its home game. Discussing why home would work in Anthro stores, he said the store’s target customer’s “desire to buy home products has not decreased. To the contrary, the Anthropologie customer spends as much per annum on home products as she does on apparel, so we see a significant opportunity to offer a much fuller assortment of home products and capture more of her spend.”

On that same call, David McCreight, CEO of the Anthropologie Group, outlined a strategy that had the store moving away from just offering decorative accents and more gift-oriented merchandise and becoming more of a legitimate, full-line home furnishings retailer with core products like upholstered furniture as well as dining room and bedroom furniture. Ultimately, the executives said, they would reduce the apparel side of the store from its current 71 percent to just over half. Beauty would continue to hold down about 5-8 percent of the merchandise mix but the rest would be home. This would mean some larger stores going forward—perhaps as many as 25 to 50 flagship-style stores at double to triple the size of the current average of 10,000 square feet—as well as some retrofits of existing units. Ultimately, Urban said it will double the size of its home business to 20 percent of corporate sales—$700 million based on current sales—within three years.

A New Home

To get an idea of how that is going to be manifested, you need to head downtown to the first Anthropologie store to take on the new home strategy, in the Financial District of lower Manhattan, just a few blocks from the World Trade Center. The store—which counts Nobu as its next store neighbor if that gives you a rough idea of the projected customer demographic—measures out at about 20,000 square-feet, with close to half of that devoted to home.

From the street level, the store at 195 Broadway (the original AT&T corporate headquarters) looks like a typical fashion-focused outlet, but take one flight down and fashion takes a backseat to a dramatically expanded home offering. Here you’ll find real home furnishings. There are couches and chairs, tables and shelving, mirrors and framed art, bed and bath, rugs and mats, dinnerware and drinkware. All this in addition to the candles, decorative pillows, picture frames and other decorative doodads that have been mainstays throughout the years. The spacious department is laid out with room settings, something new for the store, accessorized with not-for-sale props that reinforce the design aesthetic. Display fixtures are consistent with that design environ: no pegboards or rack systems here, thank you. Also new is a custom furniture Design Center area, where shoppers can pick a frame, select a covering from a fabric library and submit a special order. An oversized video screen helps walk the customer through the process although there was an abundance of Anthro-approved and -attired salespeople on the selling floor on a recent visit.

All of this merchandise—and much more—is duplicated on the website, including an extensive custom furniture section with ordering capabilities. Home-specific direct mail catalogs reinforce the story.

A Future for Furnishings

All of it represents a significant investment in the category, one that obviously the store believes in. As such it represents a foray into unchartered territory. And one in which it is not entirely alone. Fast fashion apparel retailers H&M and Zara are both moving into home products, the former both in-store and online, the latter just on e-commerce so far. Each operates stand alone home stores in Europe. And let’s not forget sister company Urban Outfitters, which continues to broaden its home assortment. But all of those retailers are targeting a younger, less-affluent customer, younger millennials, and the emerging Gen Z shopper. Anthropologie is firmly banking on the older millennial and Gen X shoppers who have traded up and are entering their prime home furnishings consumption years.

Its competition is not H&M or Urban, or even IKEA or West Elm. It is going up against the meat of the home furnishings spectrum, mainstream retailers like Bed Bath & Beyond and Macy’s, not to mention lifestyle chains like Pottery Barn, Crate & Barrel and even RH. These are not lightweights and are going to do whatever is necessary to defend their home turfs.

But as crowded as the furnishings space is, it’s nothing compared to fashion so in that respect the Anthropologie positioning makes sense. And if you believe the theory that the millennials are moving into their prime home furnishings purchasing years it is even more plausible. As with everything in retailing, it all makes sense in theory. But Anthropologie knows all too well that while anthropology is very much a science, retailing is anything but.

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Kohl’s/Amazon – Win/Win?

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

Or…Is Amazon Envisioning a Future Acquisition of Kohl’s?

I have to hand it to Kohl’s CEO, Kevin Mansell, and his team. The Midwestern Vince Lombardi mindset is usually associated with blocking, tackling and gaining a few yards up the middle. Midwestern Kohl’s deal with Amazon looks like a long pass to a touchdown. And I believe it scores, big time. Certainly the 1000 square-foot Amazon shops within 10 of Kohl’s stores in LA and Chicago will increase foot traffic — from current customers, competitors and from many other demographic groups. The synergy will also add a revenue boost for both. It is a brilliant marketing move that differentiates Kohl’s from its competitors in a big way.

Beginning in October, the Amazon shops will be manned by Amazon experts who will sell Amazon devices, accessories and smart home products, including the Echo, Echo Dot, Fire TV and Fire tablets. Customers can also schedule Amazon experts to come to their homes and install their smart home devices. Additionally, Kohl’s will promote Amazon Home Services, which offers customers access to local service professionals who will help with tasks like cleaning and plumbing. Does Amazon also have a “pick-up” space in their Kohl’s shops? And how long will it be before apparel appears in these shops?

In my opinion, the Amazon shop model will expand to all 1155 Kohl’s locations before you realize this was not a test. I believe this because, while this may be a brilliant marketing move for Kohl’s, I believe it’s an even more brilliant, yet diabolical strategic move for Amazon. The predatory mind of Jeff Bezos no doubt envisions the rest of Kohl’s 1155 buildings as a perfect acquisition strategy, buying his way into a huge chunk of brick-and-mortar commerce, becoming phase two of this initial “shop” roll out. Acquiring 1155 shopping and shipping locations provides several competitive advantages quicker than building out organically. Furthermore, by acquiring and ultimately replacing Kohl’s nameplate with Amazon’s, they buy their way into the apparel business overnight. This would fulfill Bezos’ declaration from the get-go that Amazon had to master both apparel and grocery. Bezos has been well on his way to achieving his apparel goal. Even without Kohl’s, it has been estimated that Amazon will own about a 20 percent share of the apparel market by 2020.

Without having to build his own stores (requiring billions of dollars and many years), Amazon would also have 1155 shopping and shipping points almost overnight (further speeding up his last mile delivery and BOPIS capabilities). While this is not as big as Walmart’s 4700 locations, if Bezos plans to operate additional book and grocery stores, possibly adding other vertical categories (his own long tail), he will be meeting Walmart (now becoming his biggest nemesis), head on.

What’s Kohl’s Long-Term View?

So, what’s the long game win for Kohl’s? What is their strategic objective? Is this the marketing touchdown pass that will win the game in the long run? In other words, can this partnering model with Amazon as a huge marketing differentiator sustain itself, and even grow over time? And, in reality, is this a major preemptive distribution model for both?

Am I speculating too much on what’s in Jeff Bezos’s predatory mind? I don’t think so.

In the short term, this is a visionary move for Kohl’s. It’s as innovative as their preemptive distribution strategy in the 1990s of locating their stores in neighborhoods where their working mom customers lived, so they would not have to waste the 20-minute drive to the mall. This big idea stole about $10 billion in revenues from mall anchor JC Penney, as Kohl’s opened stores across the U.S. during that decade.

Some of Kohl’s competitors are probably asking themselves why they didn’t think of the Amazon partner potential. Having said this, and back to my mantra, think of Amazon as the world’s Pac-man, chomping on all markets, categories, services, media – simply all of commerce.

A note to Kohl’s: Watch your back.

The post Kohl’s/Amazon – Win/Win? appeared first on The Robin Report - .

Toy Story…the Sequel

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

The game isn’t quite over…but the fun has certainly stopped.

As Toys”R”Us slogs through what looks like a fling with bankruptcy, it once again points to two very basic tenets of retailing:

  1. You better be a damn good merchant because the competition will eat you alive if you’re not.
  2. You better not have a lot of debt because the retailing business model just doesn’t throw off enough cash to pay the bills.

That Toys will be the latest victim of this one-two punch is both sad and somewhat ironic. It was after all the original category killer big box specialty chain, having practically invented the genre. It was also one of the early big retailers to go private, courtesy of a triumvirate of privileged equity – oops, meant private equity – players who saw the opportunity to make some serious money by playing the classic public-private-public flipping game. None of it went exactly according to plan.

The original plan for Toys”R”Us was a brilliant one. From the bones of a small juvenile furniture store in Washington, DC and an ill-fated takeover by a third-rate regional discounter, the retailer emerged as the powerhouse in toys and kids products in the 1980s and 1990s under the leadership of Charlie Lazarus, one of the great merchants in the history of retailing. Through a series of circumstances around the turn of the century – not the least of which was no more Charlie – Toys lost its mojo to Walmart, Target and this little upstart called Amazon.

In 2005 three big PE guns – KKR, Bain and Vornado – took Toys private and it was all going according to that plan…until 2008 hit. Like every retailer in the country, Toys struggled for several years to get its footing back during the Great Recession. Any hopes of the Big Flip were put on hold. All the while, the debt meter was running. When it went private the deal was valued at $6.6 billion. Yet 12 years later, the company’s debt still stands at $5.2 billion — including $400 million due next year – which means it has paid down just $1.4 billion over that period. For the math-challenged that’s about $117 million a year. There are degenerate gamblers in Vegas who pay their vigs back faster than that.

By the way, Toys hasn’t made any money in four years. In the meantime, it meandered along the retailing highway while its competition got bigger, better and faster.TRU’s initiatives have either hit dead-ends or petered out.

It opened a flagship store in New York’s Times Square that was a showplace for the brand in one of the country’s most important tourist markets. It was big – 110,000 square feet – and no doubt enormously expensive. Two years ago it moved out, citing the cost, and this Christmas it will open a substantially smaller pop-up store two blocks away.

Ask anyone in retailing how physical stores can compete with online and the first thing they’ll tell you is to make your stores destinations and experiential. That Times Square store was both and if it was costly to operate, it was the best branding Toys could ever have, worth far more than the business rung up on its registers. And it’s gone. Or how about when Toys bought FAO Schwarz in 2006? The best-known name in premium toys, the brand gave the company the platform to have a clearly differentiated position from other big box discounters. Yet in 2015 it closed the only existing store, on Fifth Avenue in New York – next store to the main Apple store for heaven’s sake – citing, you guessed it, the leasing cost. There’s this generation out there – the millennials, maybe you’ve heard of them – who are starting to have kids now and they want genuine, unique products and are willing to pay for them. If they want to go to FAO, they are OOL. TRU also bought the eToys.com business, or what was left of it, but when you enter that on our browser it takes you straight to the Toys site.

Maybe building your core brand is the best online strategy these days but is there not room for a niche sub-brand, as Wayfair has proven with All Modern, Joss & Main and its other nameplates? Whatever the ultimate outcome will be for Toys”R”Us, it’s safe to say that its best days are probably behind it and that its future success will be diminished thanks to both its balance sheet and its merchandising strategy.

Just another broken Toy in the world of retailing.

Warren Shoulberg is a contributing editor to the Progressive Business Media group of home furnishings publications and was too old to be a Toys ”R” Us kid.

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Nordstrom Local: A Triple-Header: Personalization, Experience, BOPUS

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

The opening of Nordstrom Local in West Hollywood, California, on October 3, is a visionary move, responding to the demanding consumer youth culture. Boldly innovative and counter-intuitive, there is no merchandise in store. It is a small (3000 square-feet), fun, personalized experience. It is compelling as a quick-and-easy neighborhood destination where you can enjoy a full beverage menu including California-sourced beer and wine, cold-pressed juices from Pressed Juicery and crafted espresso drinks from Nordstrom’s Ebar. Oh, yes, you can also get a manicure.

While enjoying a beverage, customers can lounge comfortably in a meeting space where they can chat with their Personal Stylist experts, who, equipped with digital “Style Boards,” can create personalized fashion recommendations, which shoppers can view on their phones and purchase directly through Nordstrom.com. Alternatively, the Stylist can find the items in other local Nordstrom stores and have them delivered to the customer’s home on the same day — if ordered before 2:00 PM. The Personal Stylists can also interact with the customer, wherever they may be, and provide fashion advice through a Nordstrom Local app.

A Nordstrom Personal Stylist can help customers with everything from fashion advice and a whole new wardrobe, to finding the perfect gift for any budget. Customers can make an appointment with a Stylist online, over the phone or in person. The Local is designed to be a fast, fun, zero-pressure and frictionless experience.

If the customer pre-orders online, they can either pick-up curbside or come into the store and try on the items in one of the eight dressing rooms surrounding the styling suite. If in need of alterations, a tailor is on hand.

This is also a destination where a customer can meet a Trunk Club Stylist, pick up or return a Trunk. Expert tailors can also help customers select the right fabrics or create a Trunk Club Custom garment.

Customers will also be able to make returns from Nordstrom stores, Nordstrom.com and Trunk Club.

Another Omnichannel Advantage

From the beginning of the meteoric rise of Amazon and the thousands of Amazon wannabe e-commerce pure plays, I have said that the legacy, traditional retailers have an inherent major advantage. They have the ability to build a synergistic online/offline model, more quickly and easily than Amazon and the e-players can open brick-and mortar-stores, which Amazon and the others know they must do. And indeed, legacy players like Nordstrom are finding the synergy of BOPUS yields a three-to-four time sales bump vs. an online sale.

However, the other necessity for legacy retailers to optimize their omnichannel advantage and synergy is the challenge of converting those big buildings, piled high with stuff (which is a customer turn-off), to compelling personalized, experiential destinations.

You can call it back to the future, moms and pops, places of entertainment, palaces of consumption (as they called department stores in the 19th century), or whatever. You make the call. You pick it. Because, if you are going to survive as a brick-and mortar-retailer in the future, you must convert your space into something that can be described as any of those environments I just mentioned.
This move by Nordstrom to launch Nordstrom Local is proof that confirms to me that the Nordstroms get it.

Bravo Nordstroms! Once again, you are leading the pack.

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The Children’s Place – A Case Study For Winning

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR The Children's PlaceThere’s such a dark cloud of bad news for most general merchandise and apparel retailers today that when I examined how The Children’s Place rose from the near-dead in 2010, made it through a tepid economic recovery, exacerbated by the chaotic Technology/Digital Revolution, I felt like Dracula hit by sunshine. Whammo!!

As you can imagine, I wanted to further explore this phenomenon. How did The Children’s Place do it?

First of all, as with all turnarounds, it starts with a strong, experienced and visionary leader. In this case the leader was (and, still is) Jane Elfers, who took the helm as CEO in 2010. Almost all parts of the business were a mess upon Elfers’ arrival. During the four years leading up to Elfers becoming the CEO there were scandals and irregularities attached to questionable management practices, which was followed by a class action lawsuit. There were negative comp store sales during the 2009-2011 period, and a gross profit decline of 210 bps, no growth in operating profit and free cash flow decreased by 54 percent between 2008 and 2011.

Indeed, as Elfers stated, the company was “rudderless.” It would be an understatement to say she had to hit the ground running.

One year into the job, in 2011, I interviewed Jane, she was well into turnaround mode, and her vision was to become the number-one pure play children’s specialty apparel retailer in the U.S. Check that goal off as delivered. Indeed, The Children’s Place is “number one,” with revenues of around $2 billion and a fleet of stores numbering about 1026.

More significantly, the stock price was at $29 and change when she took over in 2010 vs. $125 earlier this year. And PLCE had a market cap of around $800 million in 2010. Today it rounds out to about $2 billion.

And if you want a real jolt, put on your sunglasses and look at the accompanying charts of competitive, peer group and stock index comparisons. Also the spreadsheet shows remarkable results over the past three years in same-store sales, operating margin and earnings per share as they compare to the apparel retail sector and against their competitors. Outperforming might also be considered an understatement.

All of the numbers are clear measures of successfully executing the four key strategic pillars that Jane established for long-term success: 1) product, 2) business transformation through technology, 3) alternate channels of distribution, and 4) fleet optimization.

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Setting the Foundational Strategy

So Jane had a vision — and she had a strategic plan. When I caught up with her I said, “Okay, great – you declared what you wanted to accomplish and how you were going to do it. So what became the most important element in getting it done?” Without hesitation, she replied, “Talent – the right people – the team is the overlay for these strategic pillars. Without the talent you cannot be successful. Operational excellence is the foundation. “ The lesson here? Getting the right people with the right skills and motivation is the biggest challenge in a turnaround, making it the number one job for a CEO.

In setting this foundational strategy, Elfers said, “…I populated the senior leadership team with subject matter experts with the leadership experience and the drive to win. We upgraded over 90 percent of the headquarters staff with executives that knew what ‘good’ looked like and who could hit the ground running. And then we built the vision that unified the team around the mission.”

I repeat, priority one and starting day one, if you don’t get the right people to execute, it doesn’t matter how great the vision and strategies are, they will fail.

Today, seven years into her original vision, having successfully executed the four strategic pillars (which will remain intact going forward), Elfers has upped her vision, stating, “Vision 20/20 (the year) is to become a leading global children’s specialty apparel and accessories retailer.” Conclusion: That would suggest aggressive global expansion.

Strategic Pillars

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Product

When I asked about her first strategic pillar, product, she replied, “…Very dated—needed a facelift—product aesthetic had been moving younger and younger—we were not appealing to an older kid, and we were losing many at the top end of our size range which was, at that time, size 14. Demographics were not in our favor. Births had been declining since 2008 and were on a trajectory to continue that way for years to come—as a matter of fact, the decline has only just started to level off—many years past the original predictions for stabilization. So a focus on product and marketing for an older kid was a priority.

“We also saw a void in “head to toe” outfitting, including fashionable shoes and accessories, and we went after it aggressively. We also made huge strides in sourcing efficiencies under our SVP of sourcing, Greg Poole. He inherited a sourcing structure that the previous management had developed that was heavily reliant on agents. Greg discontinued the agent relationships almost entirely and moved us to a fully direct model.

“While we made significant progress on our product, including appealing to an older kid, by 2014 we had stabilized the business and I felt it was time to really make a strong play for market share. We hired Jennifer Groves and she brought with her an extremely strong background in kids’ design and was really the catalyst we needed to take us to the next level. At the same time Jennifer came on board, I knew that my strong merchandising skills, built from decades of experience in product and merchandising, would complement Jennifer’s design talent and we would make a formidable team. So, I added the Chief Merchant Role to my responsibilities in 2015.”
During the past year, Jane explained how she took the design and merchandising team to another level by hiring Pam Wallack, considered by Jane to be “one of the best children’s merchants in the country.” Wallack, President of Global Product, is in charge of design, merchandising, sourcing and production. She is also working once again with Jennifer Groves. According to Elfers, Pam and Jennifer were the team that put the original Gap Kids “on the map.”

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Elfers says, “We are a one-stop shopping destination for Mom and the Kids. We have a complete head to toe offering with unmatched choice and convenience. We are known for our quality our value and our fashion. Our motto is BIG FASHION, little prices.”

Business Transformation Through Technology

If product was a problem, here’s what Elfers had to say about technology and systems, “It was a mess. Systems had not been touched in over two decades. We were woefully behind, not only in the digital space at the time, but also, more importantly, the inventory management areas–e.g. planning and allocation and replenishment areas. We did not even have an ERP system when I arrived in 2010.

“We spent a lot of time and energy putting in the overdue foundational systems needed to support a 1000-plus door vertical retailer. These implementations were extremely complex particularly in light of the fact that we were going through a transformation on such a large scale involving people, product, process and systems. We didn’t have the luxury of time–I remember someone in the industry once described it as “changing on stage during the play!

“We were able to deliver the foundational ERP systems without the major missteps we have seen from so many other companies, which was a very important step in our transformation. We also had the foresight to implement a global vendor portal — a key enabler to be able to implement a direct sourcing model across the globe to more effectively manage our brand and average unit cost.

“We viewed transformation through technology in two key buckets: inventory management and digital transformation.”

  1. Inventory management–planning and allocation systems—sizes, pack sizes, allocation, assortment planning, etc.
  2. Digital transformation and personalization.

Elfers explained that her first priority was to go for the “low-hanging fruit.” So, her first four years focused on the first bucket of inventory management systems and processes. While continuing to evolve the systems, the focus is now on digital transformation and personalization.

“First we had to re-platform our foundational digital systems in 2015 because we had no omnichannel capabilities and the legacy digital systems were not scalable. We also launched a mobile architecture to enable our Mobile First strategy. This along with site optimization and predictive data analytics will lead to what I see as a huge opportunity, particularly in our space. We have a dream customer for personalization. A Mobile Millennial Mom who is pushing us on the technology front. She wants to shop how and when she chooses and we are focused on two key guiding principles of our digital personalization strategy—speed and ease. There are not too many things our Mom appreciates more than speed and ease and we use these as guiding principles in all of our decision making – from product design to in-store experience. But it is especially important when designing our personalized customer experience.”

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Alternate Channels of Distribution

It’s hard to believe that upon Elfers’ arrival in 2010 that The Children’s Place had “…no digital strategy. There was no International Strategy. There was no wholesale strategy.” Elfers is now well into their digital strategy, in fact prioritizing it. Roughly 20 percent of their business is online and growing in the double digits.

Regarding international business, Elfers says, “I knew that with the North American brick-and-mortar retailing stalling and falling, that we needed alternate growth engines for our company. In 2012 we launched our first International business in the Mideast—we did not have the systems or process to support an international business but we had the strong desire to test our brand outside North America. So we figured out how to use the antiquated systems we had and we made it happen. It was a huge success and the beginning of a very important part of our strategy.

“We have gone from a few stores in the Middle East in 2012 to over 161 points of distribution in 19 countries today. Our product has really resonated everywhere we have launched and we feel that there is a significant opportunity to continue to roll out globally—both in brick-and-mortar stores — and digitally as well. We have added markets with the largest demographic potential –e.g. India and China.

“As for wholesale, early on we knew we wanted to partner with Amazon. Unlike most other retailers who were, and still are reticent to do business with Amazon, we greatly admired them from day one and reached out to see how we could become a partner. This was the beginning of what we consider an incredibly fast-growing channel of distribution, 20 to 30 percent a year.”

Fleet Optimization

In talking to Elfers about fleet optimization, I hear several strong messages that resonate with my mantra around distribution. It’s about location (making it easier, quicker, more convenient for Moms). It’s about the right size and number of locations, rents and flexibility, for maximum productivity and comp store sales. It’s also about localization and personalization of both the products and the experience.

Elfers said, “When I first arrived, there was no fleet optimization strategy. The previous management team had opened hundreds of stores that were way too large, way too expensive to build, hard to navigate, and with very high rents. One of the first things, when I arrived, was to challenge the team to develop a store build-out at less than half the cost of the previous one. After that, we focused on opening stores off-mall — that would give us the opportunity to replace volume at much lower build-out and occupancy costs, while at the same time giving us the ability to start getting out of the oversized stores and overpriced leases.

“The next major step in our fleet optimization coincided with the arrival of our COO, Mike Scarpa in 2012. We doubled down on our strategy and developed a sophisticated model for more efficient and effective decision-making and to better understand transfer rates. Following this analysis, we planned to close 200 stores. However, based on the model improving over time, we recently upped the closures to 300 by 2020, and have already closed approximately half that number. We now have an average lease length of 2.7 years and 300 lease events annually over the next 3 years which provides us with tremendous flexibility.”

Bottom Line and the Future

Bottom line, The Children’s Place successful turnaround and its future is a result of its leadership’s vision and four strategic pillars, but more importantly, its people, its teams who execute excellently.

As Elfers puts it, “The team is gritty. The team is scrappy. The team is focused. The team is tenacious. The team is impatient. The team is candid. The team holds their peers responsible. The team communicates cross-functionally. In addition, the people who are most successful at The Children’s Place have one speed—win speed.

“And, we are winning because we are doing it the old-fashioned way—brick by brick. We don’t use shortcuts and we don’t make excuses. We look across the landscape of the industry, we look at the competition and we dig into the analysis and we make decisions that propel the company forward.”

As I assess Elfers’ plan for the future, it’s going to be “back to the future.” Her vision has not changed. The four strategic pillars may evolve, but will not fundamentally change. And the culture, team spirit and excellent execution of the strategies will just get better.

In my opinion, the story of The Children’s Place turnaround will successfully shift to The Children’s Place accelerating growth into the future.

The post The Children’s Place – A Case Study For Winning appeared first on The Robin Report - .

The Rise & Still-Falling Iconic American Brand

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

This article is not an attempt to match Edward Gibbon’s epic book, The Rise and Fall of the Roman Empire, in quantity or quality, although its quantity might seem as intense. And it’s not another bashing of Eddie “the magician” Lampert, or “fast buck” Eddie, or whatever I have called him. It is a long, really long, but serious story of one of the greatest brands in the history of the world. At its pinnacle, it was bigger than Walmart. So I believe the story is worthy of its length. I also believe there are many strategic lessons to be learned from the incredible “rise” of Sears and from its nearly four decades of “falling.” I know the attention span of some of my readers will be challenged, but grab a Starbucks and plow through it. I think you will be glad you did.

The Beginning

In 1886, the combined vision of Richard Sears and Alvah Roebuck was every bit as genius as those of Jeffrey Bezos and Steve Jobs. The tools Sears and Roebuck had to work with were just not as advanced.

With 60 percent of the U.S. population living in rural areas, they launched the Sears catalog, which was equivalent to the internet and smartphone of today. Essentially, Sears was distributing its entire store into the living rooms of America’s middle class, whose shopping options were slim to none. And with its 1,000-plus pages containing everything a human being would want or need, from their cradle, to an entire home they could live in, to the coffin they could be buried in, it was perceived by those families to be as big and amazing as Amazon’s marketplace. The entire family would eagerly gather around this Sears “store” in their living room to enjoy the dazzling experience of browsing, selecting and ordering whatever their hearts desired, at affordable prices. And if they couldn’t pay it all at once, Sears would help them out with payment terms.

Furthermore, a growing number of those products were exclusive to, and some even produced by, Sears. In this early stage, Sears was truly on the leading edge of value-chain control through vertical integration, one of the three imperative strategies for success (neurological connecting experiences and preemptive distribution being the other two), as defined in my co-authored book, The New Rules of Retail.

Just as the consumer was at the center and the beginning, middle and end of every thought, idea and innovation that Jobs and Bezos created (and Bezos still does), so too were Sears and Roebuck equally consumer driven.

Just like the smartphone as the marketplace for everything on earth has turned consumers into the point of sale (as it sits in their pockets wherever they are), so too did Sears “follow” its consumers into their homes, thus making it the point of sale. (Thinking Amazon, anyone?) Then from a store (catalog), in their living rooms, as the population began migrating from rural areas to the newly forming towns, cities and then suburbs, and particularly after the construction of the interstate highway system in the 50s, Sears adjusted its distribution strategy to follow those consumers to ensure that its stores were the first ones to reach them in their new neighborhoods.

In fact, Sears was the developer and ultimate anchor for the very first shopping centers in the country, and its business expanded along with the mall movement across the United States. Sears thus executed its strategy through multi-distribution platforms (thinking omnichannel anyone?), and physically demonstrated the extent of its investment in the consumer. This was also a preemptive distribution strategy, the second of the three mentioned above: go where the consumer is, and get there first, faster and more often than the competition.

Sears was beginning to become untouchable.

Sears Supremacy: The 60s and 70s

During the 60s and 70s, Sears transformed its model from being a catalog and brick-and-mortar retailer to becoming a powerful go-to brand that also created and produced its own private-branded products. Sears was continuing to move toward a totally vertical integrated value chain. They had a view of marketing that embodied all the activities of value creation, including research and development, branding/imaging, communications/advertising, publicity and distribution. These functions were arguably nonexistent in most retail businesses at the time.

They firmly believed that relentless consumer research and product development and testing (as opposed to gut instinct) were the only sure paths to successful innovation. And successful they were. A constant stream of brands and products were rolled out through the largest distribution machine in the world.

The number of “firsts” and private, exclusive Sears brands was mindboggling: the first steel-belted radial tire; Craftsman tools; DieHard batteries; Kenmore appliances; Toughskin jeans; Cling-alon hosiery; the Comfort Shirt; the NFL and Winnie-the-Pooh exclusive licenses; and many others. These exclusive brands were made possible by Sears’ unique merchandising structure and process. As the owner of many of its suppliers, or as the primary buyer from others, its vertical integration facilitated a continuous process of joint research, innovation, testing and therefore a continuous stream of new and exclusive products and brands. It provided the foundation of Sears’ value proposition, and was an enormous advantage over competitors.

Sears also pursued product innovations for all consumers. Their open acknowledgment of their desires for better quality and better performance and for honest, low prices, made Sears a “democratic” retailer. It was a resource for all Americans, not just the middle class. High- and low-income consumers of all ages and genders shopped at Sears. Thus, it had a unique niche—in the sense that it wasn’t niche at all. Sears’ then-CEO Robert Wood said, “The customer is your employer, and the moment we lose their confidence is the beginning of the disintegration of the company.”

Sears did not have to compete head-on with the department stores (because it had its own exclusive brands) or with the discounters (they couldn’t operate on the higher cost structure necessary to match Sears’ offerings). Most important, Sears’ sales associates were the early equivalent of Apple’s T-shirted Geniuses. They were thoroughly trained and proficient in the Sears rule book and could instruct customers how to use every brand and product in the store.

Furthermore, all Sears stores were decentralized when it came to merchandise decisions. Therefore, store managers ordered and bought the products and quantities according to their local consumers’ preferences. Through this localization, there was a clear competitive advantage. And they didn’t need “big data” analytics. Although, imagine the possibilities if they did have that capability at the time.

For all the reasons just mentioned, Sears was uniquely nailing the neurological connection and engaging experiences for consumers (the third “new rule”) that no other retailer could touch at the time.

During this period, Sears was the equivalent of Walmart today. And it powered into the 70s as an unparalleled master of retailing, bigger than the next five largest retailers combined, with 900 large stores and over 2,600 smaller retail and catalog outlets, accounting for an incredible one percent of the gross national product. More than half the households in the country had a Sears credit card, and a survey at the time confirmed that it was the most trusted economic institution in the country.

Then in the mid-to-late 70s the unraveling began. Tragically, after 84 years of building one of the greatest brands the world had ever seen, it would take Sears just a few years to lose its unique competitive position (awesome experiences, preemptive distribution and vertically integrated and controlled value chain) and veer into a quarter century of decline that sadly continues to this day. What happened?

Misreading the Tea Leaves

Sears conducted a major study in the early 70s that alerted them to the following major shifts which were exacerbated by growing market saturation and the slowing economy.

  • Sears’ customer base was getting older and turning into two-income families, plus women were becoming the most important shoppers.
  • The youth of America were not getting married as early as their parents had, and they were seeking their own shopping sources such as the rapidly growing specialty chains.
  • Sears’ profitability was shifting from merchandise, which had been contributing 80 to 90 percent of profits, to services, which were contributing 75 percent by the end of the 70s (including installation, credit extension and its Allstate insurance business).
  • Competitors were closing the gap—JCPenney in the malls and Kmarts appearing on every corner. The specialty store upstarts were also staking a claim in the malls, and Walmart was a preview of coming attractions.

The result of this study, along with many other internal issues that were coming to a head, which included political infighting between stores and merchandising management; mounting costs; and a calcifying culture, ultimately forced Sears management to seek a new direction. They began to believe that the key to growth was not to be found in the core competencies that had driven the success of the company. They started to look into new businesses that would be complementary and synergistic. So, Sears moved in a completely different direction.

This was the critical juncture in Sears’ history.

The Tumbling 80s

Even as the Sears Tower was going up in the late 70s and early 80s, to become the company’s new Chicago headquarters, much of its world, inside and outside, was starting to crack. And to make matters worse, the larger economy was tanking.

While Sears’ profits were plummeting in 1979 and 1980 because of the combination of inflation-raging interest rates, rising operating costs, loss of direction, mounting competition and organizational disarray, Sears new CEO at the time, Ed Telling, determined that the retail business had matured, and retreated to the Tower with his new team to work on building what he called the “Great American Company.” Sears as a diversified conglomerate of financial, real estate and insurance services. At the same time, he assigned another executive, Edward Brennan, to head up the retail business. Ironically, Brennan was charged with saving what truly was the Great American Company—the Sears retail business. At this crucial crossroads in Sears’ history, CEO Telling was essentially turning his back on, and leaving the scene of, the disaster to chase his dreams. He would initiate and oversee the dismantling of arguably one of the greatest American companies in history.

Telling’s dream was of a great synergy between financial services and the core retail business. Sears already owned Allstate Insurance, and it went on to acquire Dean Witter Reynolds financial services, Coldwell Banker real estate and, later, Discover Card. It also created the Sears U.S. Government Money Market Trust Fund and formed the Sears World Trade Company. The synergy was to come from Sears using its stores, catalogs and Allstate Insurance offices as additional locations where they could insert the financial service businesses. It expected to lure the millions of Sears’ customers across the aisle to purchase financial services, and vice versa. Telling boasted to the press about their “socks and stocks” strategy.

Chief among the several factors necessary for this grand strategy to work, however, was a successful and growing core retail business to generate the crossover and new traffic expected. But this was not the case. Not only was the core business beginning to decline during this period, but the customers also questioned Sears’ authority on financial skills and management, citing confusion about where Sears now belonged in their lives. What was it—retailer, banker, financier, real estate mogul or a “money store”? What did it stand for? Does this ring a bell in describing their position today? Don’t worry, I’m getting to that.

In the end, rather than an inspired synergy, Telling’s so-called Great American Company was one of the first major strategy missteps that sent Sears into its long decline. In fact, instead of a synergy for growth, the strategy likely caused a reverse downward synergy. Along with the already daunting task of turning the retail business around, Telling’s idea to “bolt on” a completely different business just compounded the complexity and confusion of accomplishing either.

So, Telling’s dream did not come true. In fact, the financial services businesses might as well have been independent entities of a holding company. They ended up contributing only incrementally (with the exception of Allstate, which Sears held even before Telling, and eventually the Discover Card). By the early 90s all the financial services, real estate and insurance businesses were sold off as Sears entered another decade-long search for direction.

As the new head of retail, Brennan did make some bold moves in the early 80s, enough to achieve a short-lived spike in business and confirm his promotion to CEO in 1984 upon Telling’s retirement. Some of his initiatives for a “new Sears” included: improving stores and merchandise presentations; adding national brands; trying to strengthen apparel lines; launching a “Store of the Future” concept as a template for refurbishing stores over a five-year period; rolling out Business System Centers and paint and hardware specialty stores (a beginning probe for competing in the specialty tier); and the launch of a national ad campaign.

However, all these initiatives turned out to be merely opportunistic tactics. The ad campaign’s underlying message said it all: Sears has everything. So, while Sears gained a momentary boost through Brennan’s initiatives, it had definitely lost its once-supreme position and still lacked a clear strategic direction.

The once-proud culture turned arrogant, then bureaucratic. The constructive balance between stores and merchandising and marketing deteriorated into constant infighting. This conflict, along with the loss of their private and exclusive branding strategy (giving way to national brands) and cost cutting, led to the unraveling of Sears’ fully integrated (and/or exclusively controlled) product development and production sourcing. This was further exacerbated when it shuttered its R&D and consumer research departments.

Sears’ small-store preemptive and multichannel distribution strategy, also initiated under Brennan, would prove to be too little too late, as well as underfunded, since more capital was being infused into the financial services business. Finally, it was confronting the arrival of Walmart as the new, hot discounter in small towns. Cutbacks in store expansion also left many of its original stores anchored in declining locations.

For 10 years Sears focused on the so-called synergy for growing financial services while ignoring the store. The “store of the future” was a flop. And everyday-low-price branding strategy failed.

During the 70s and 80s total retail space doubled in the United States, while Sears concentrated on closing and remodeling. It halfheartedly dabbled in specialty store concepts that turned out to be too late and insufficiently funded.

Sears’ return on equity in 1984 was at 14 percent. In 1992 it stood at 9.6 percent. Virtually all Sears’ earnings between 1985 and 1992 came from the financial services businesses. And for all of Sears’ numerous cost-reduction efforts during the 1980s, its cost-to-sales ratio continued to be almost double that of Walmart and well above the rest of its competitors.

Finally, with the $3 billion sale of the financial services business, which at the time was claimed to have reduced debt, many experts said there would not be enough left for capital spending on the stores.

Sears was not only on a severely declining revenue and income trajectory, it was waffling on a strategic positioning in the no-man’s-land of being “everything for everybody.” Therefore, it was competing against the discounters from below, the department stores from above, the specialty stores in front, and the newly emerging big-box specialists from the front, and the rear. In the process, Sears had become a traditional retailer instead of the greatest brand and marketer with the strongest consumer connection the country had ever known.

It was time for a new leader.

The 90s: The Softer Side of Sears

In 1992, Arthur Martinez became only the second leader from outside Sears in its history (“General” Robert Wood being the first). By then, Sears had shed all its financial services businesses.

Martinez came in with a strategic vision for Sears and developed a plan for fundamental transformation, primarily focusing on women’s apparel, with an advertising slogan emphasizing “The Softer Side of Sears.” Having come from the Saks department stores, he would also move Sears into more of a department store positioning. This and other strategic initiatives showed initial success.

By 1998, revenues had increased about 30 percent to roughly $36 billion, and profits rose from losses of close to $3 billion to a gain of over $1 billion.

However, when sales and income started to drop in 1998, there was speculation that the seemingly spectacular turnaround may in fact have been due to Sears’ aggressive focus on growing its credit card business, beginning in 1993. By 1997, 60 percent of all sales transactions were done with credit cards, and experts suggested that over 60 percent of Sears’ bottom line was coming from the credit business.

Despite the potential of the credit business as the growth engine for the retail business, Martinez simply could not change the culture of Sears. In fact, in Martinez’s book, The Hard Road to the Softer Side: Lessons from the Transformation of Sears, he stated that toward the end of his tenure he felt Sears was falling back into the same trap he inherited when he took over in 1992: “Just do more of the same, only work harder.” He was also asking himself the same question as when he arrived: “What is this company going to be? What does it stand for?”

At the end of the 90s, Sears had no more of a strategic compass than it had 10 years before. It was time for yet another leader.

Does this sound like musical chairs on the Titanic? Oh yes, it’s sinking.

The 2000s: Sinking Slowly

With a primarily financial background, Lacy was made CEO in 2001, he immediately moved to grab the low-hanging fruit by doing what he had done best as CFO under Martinez. He slashed costs and further pumped up the credit business. With a primarily financial background, Lacy would be the fourth non-merchant in a row to run the company, and the second, after Martinez.

In less than a year, The Wall Street Journal reported that Lacy was considering abandoning the apparel business altogether after a 25 percent drop in net income in the first quarter of 2001. He admitted at an analyst meeting that Sears could not find its place in fashion, stating, “We almost don’t have any personality.”

As apparel growth slipped, critics increasingly took shots at Martinez’s efforts, which now appeared short-lived. However, Lacy realized that the cost of radically changing stores and replacing lost clothing sales (stagnant, at about $8 billion) would be too steep.

By 2003, Sears had experienced 18 consecutive months of sales declines, and the credit business was responsible for over two-thirds of total net income. In reaction, Sears bought Lands’ End, thereby going deeper into the apparel category, where it had had no success since the late 70s.

If Martinez lost his control of the culture, Lacy was losing it on all fronts. Sears still didn’t know what it stood for. Indeed, Sears seemed to be poised for its final descent. Adjusted for inflation, Sears volume declined about 20 percent from its pinnacle in the late 70s, and continues to drop today.

Sears Struggling to Stay Afloat

In 2004, a strategic financial visionary named Edward “Eddie” Lampert came to the rescue. Head of his own hedge fund, ESL Investments, and a former Goldman Sachs risk arbitrageur, Lampert has a genius for spotting great deals among distressed companies that he considers to be undervalued. He then buys a major stake at a bargain price.

Having made such a deal for the equally distressed Kmart a couple years before his move on Sears, he combined the two companies under the name Sears Holdings (to be owned by ESL Investments, with Lampert owning 41 percent of the stock). He and his newly appointed team declared to Wall Street and the world that they were going to return Kmart and Sears to their rightful positions as successful, iconic retail brands.

In keeping with his track record, Lampert and his team slashed costs across the boards to boost per-share earnings and improve returns on capital, even though both retailers were hemorrhaging before he bought them. Comparative store sales were, and still are, declining month-over-month. However, by cutting people, advertising and research costs and slashing store maintenance and capital improvements, he improved profitability and share prices. Lampert could then leverage the earnings and cash to invest in more promising growth opportunities with higher returns—not necessarily back into the dying businesses.

After several years of cost cutting, even amid a flurry of tactical initiatives, Sears Holdings still does not clearly stand for anything so compelling that consumers make Sears (or Kmart) their destination of choice.

Still Falling

The combined sales of Kmart and Sears in 2005 when Eddie took the helm was about $50 billion. As reported last December, after its 20th consecutive quarterly decline in sales and revenues, the combined top-line number had dropped to about $25 billion. More warning lights are on the bottom line. They lost $2.2 billion in 2016 and over $5 billion over the last three years. And during the past decade, the number of Kmart and Sears stores has dropped from more than 3,800 to 1,430.

In the face of this dark reality, Mr. Lampert made this preposterous comment in the annual meeting in early May 2017: “We don’t need more customers. We have all the customers we could possibly want.” The factual reality is that not only does he need more customers, he needs to keep the ones he has, who, according to the top and bottom line numbers, seem to be leaving in droves.

According to a statement from Sears Holdings’ annual report for the fiscal year ending in January, there appear to be no rabbits left, or hats to pull them out of, in Lampert’s bag of tricks. The report stated, “Our historical operating results indicate substantial doubt exists related to the company’s ability to continue as a going concern.” It cited that continuing operating losses were choking off liquidity that might limit its access to new merchandise and new funding.

From day one, when Lampert acquired Sears and merged it with Kmart, he operated the business as though he had absolutely no retail experience, which of course he did not. He declared in a 15-page manifesto in 2005 that traditional measures of retail success, such as same-store sales, were no longer relevant. This statement reminded me of CEO Ed Telling’s proclamation that “the retail business is mature,” as he retreated into Sears Tower to oversee its first unravelling during the 80s.

Cost-cutting, slashing capital spending and store maintenance, closing stores, putting other stores in REITs, selling assets like the Craftsman tool brand and putting Kenmore and DieHard into the for-sale line-up, all of these were, and still are, tactical moves to just survive another day. They are not the strategic decisions required to find another path for growth.

Is There a Sears in Our Future?

Today there are many focused “masters” competing in each of Sears’ many businesses. Indeed, Sears’ 30-year quest to regain its former glory has certainly eroded its relevance to consumers, or at least severely tested their patience.

Simply put, Sears is still in the middle of a perfect storm. The seminal question is whether the following three storm fronts will allow Sears the time to find a meaningful position:

  1. Perhaps the most powerful negative driver for the Sears demise are the millennial and Gen Z consumers, who find everything about Sears, including the iconic brand itself, “old world.” Certainly, the poorly maintained stores offer no compelling, experiential destination for these consumers. They have unlimited, better or equal shopping choices, many of which are located closer to where the consumers live. And there’s Amazon, growing at the rate of 20-30 percent and eating everybody’s lunch. Additionally, Sears’ omnichannel efforts have arguably been too little and too late. Sears’ captivity in malls is another major issue, as declining traffic is driving the majority of them to repurpose or close.
  2. Competitors have more efficient and effective business models, focused and positioned with dominant value propositions and elevated shopping experiences, attacking each or several of the conglomeration of Sears’ waning businesses (appliances and tools included). This includes a repositioned JCPenney, as well as competitors such as Walmart, Kohl’s, Target, Home Depot, Lowe’s and the multiplicity of specialty chains, all of which have a major advantage because of their lower operating costs and real estate flexibility. Thus, they gain more pricing leverage and greater profitability, as well as better proximity to the consumer. Between 1998 and 2010, the number of competitors within a 15-minute drive from Sears grew from 1,400 to 4,300 stores.
  3. Economy and industry dynamics are a weakened, post-recession economy and an oversaturated retail industry.

The Final Fall?

I have written about the demise of Sears almost from the first day of Eddie Lampert’s acquisition and merging of the two “Titanics,” as I called Sears and Kmart. I did, and still do, admire and respect Mr. Lampert’s financial brilliance. But financial brilliance alone is not enough to turn around two enormous and already tanking retailers when he took them over. And perhaps nobody could have turned those businesses around. Certainly, under Lampert’s micro-managing control and his cost cutting and resistance to invest in store maintenance, much less anything else, not even the most talented turnaround artist and leader would have been able to stop the bleeding.

I sadly conclude this story of one of the most famous and recognized iconic brands in the world. And while you are reading this, Sears may in fact be filing for bankruptcy, which better minds than mine are predicting will happen in July of 2017. While we are waiting for that to happen, let this be a cautionary tale to some of our major brands in business today who are mirroring where Sears was in the 80s. Be forewarned.

The only possible good news is that the death of Sears will reduce a severely over-stored industry.

Amen

The post The Rise & Still-Falling Iconic American Brand appeared first on The Robin Report - .


The Joy of Retailing

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

When you attend Shoptalk, you feel the kinetic energy, optimism and confidence of the startups and investors that are reshaping retail’s future. The guiding principles of these entrepreneurs: speed and personalization, all fueled by machine learning and delivered by voice recognition, principally on mobile. Visual search, AR, VR, and 3D printing get the lion’ s share of attention as well.

These tech mantras bring great joy to the faces of entrepreneurs who thrive in our brave new world. Conversely, they trigger unbridled panic in some traditional retailers who grimly realize they may be way too late to the party. In both cases, the decisions these retailers are making today are already too late to shape the future, making everyone anxious and burdened with — the startup concept of the moment — existential crisis. It’s an intense education to witness the collision of two these cultures, and that’s why Shoptalk is an invaluable roadmap for anyone trying to make a living in retail.

Shape Shifting

We used to talk about disintermediation; today it’s about replication. The personal shopper bots that show up on our retail screens have already pinpointed what we want, before we want it. You can find this intrusive and unnerving, or liberating. In either case, the machines have a leading edge over humans. The innovative startups are using replication to their advantage; the smart startups are merging high tech with high touch. Chiquelle is a fashion-forward retailer based in Sweden, with manufacturing facilities in Turkey. The retailer combines the power of online social media influencers with a sophisticated supply chain that is ruled by tech tools designed to deliver new fast-fashion merchandise within two weeks. Chiquelle has replicated most of its sales staff and marketing experts with social media. The persuaders, AKA influencers, are paid commissions for their sales; so who needs a sales staff? Chicquelle uses social media exclusively for marketing. Their advice for social media ingénues is to make it real, make it authentic and avoid anything commercial. They decree Facebook as conservative and Insta stories as essential.

Bloomon, doing business in Amsterdam, Berlin and London, brings the fusion of high tech and high touch to an apex with a business model based on happiness. As they say, Bloomon is “beauty in a bouquet, one delivery at a time.” Bloomon takes one of the most sentimental businesses, fresh flowers, and turns the 1-800-Flowers model on its head. Customers order online and receive fresh flower bouquets exactly when and where they want them. The bouquets are designed by artisans who have upped the artistic standards of floral arrangements, using current fashion trends to inspire colors and flowers. To build a community, there are stories and pictures of fans with their bouquets posted online, personalizing Bloomon into an extended tribe of flower lovers.

One of the darlings of Shoptalk Europe was Picnic, a startup based in the Netherlands that is replicating the nostalgic memory of the milkman with an ultra rationalized, tech-driven business to fulfill grocery market orders. Fresh foods are delivered in their eco electric-powered delivery trucks, racing through the neighborhood at four miles per hour. Customers decide what Picnic sells, creating an algorithmic, predictive supply chain that eliminates waste from unsold, spoiled food. If a requested product meets the threshold of five customers, it is put into the market order system. With enormous financial backing, Picnic has already taken five-percent market share, and is expanding quickly into other towns. In its short existence, Picnic has already achieved an impressive Net Promoter Score of 85.

Then there’s 3D printing, which has been inching into the mainstream for years, replicating larger-scale manufacturers with the 21st-century individual tech artisan and craftsperson. 3DHubs, based on Amsterdam, has plans to build a network of 3D printing facilities in 160 countries, enabling customers to design and print products close to home, all paid for on a Verifone fintech platform. The Hubs combine high automation with customization. With 3D printing, production is now democratized. Providing 3D printers in brick and mortar, store personnel become design guides to help jewelry customers, for example, create their own original designs. In addition to the industrial and medical applications of 3D printing, here’s a glimpse of your near future: Scan your feet and design shoes that fit–exactly. Print your glasses frames. Customize the frame to the contours of your face for a perfect fit. Wouldn’t it be more fun for kids to design their own toys? We’ll soon have billions of budding Toys R Us 3D entrepreneurs. Amazon is going to have 3D stored in Echo devices. Stockholm-based Volumental, is disrupting shoe shopping using computer vision and artificial intelligence. Their technology is being used by many world’s footwear brands and retailers to personalize the shopping experience and provide great fit. When their 3D body scanning scales up, the fit will finally be perfect and returns will become a zero-sum game.

The Marketplace

Community was also a focus for the startups at Shoptalk. Junique, based in Berlin, is a curated marketplace for creative people, providing accessible and affordable art (under 40 euros) to everyone, instantly democratizing fine art. Westfield Retail Solutions, based in San Francisco, is an innovation lab working on a massive community build. It will ultimately integrate a fragmented retail world by bringing together the major players and the long tail into an interconnected, tech-based platform that provides consumers with a seamless experience in search, discovery and shop. Highly tech with plenty of machine learning, the Westfield marketplace demonstrates how to adapt and be relevant in a digital economy. Voice recognition, which is the megatrend in retail tech, is key to this marketplace.

Harrods, in London, caters to a luxury customer and seems be doing just fine with old-world tactics and strategies. Their marketplace is based on rigorous personal attention, providing luxe benefits to customers who expect nothing less. Marketing to the top 0.1 percent of the world, Brexit has had no impact on Harrods’ business. Their community is international with China as their biggest customer base representing 25 percent of Harrods spend. The pathway to the next gen is through beauty, and millennials over-index in the beauty spend. It’s not all soft touch; their CRM system is state of the art, enabling 84 percent of their customers to receive personal attention based on their shopping preferences and past purchases.

Speed Bumps

So, a few cautionary words to the retail community about speed. First, there seem to be no speed limits in today’s retail space. Spencer Fung, group CEO of Li & Fung, base on Hong Kong, admits “the environment is moving faster than the industry.” His tortoise-and-the-hare storytelling narrative illustrates the innovator’s dilemma. Speed, innovation and digitalization are the hare’s racing colors; the only recourse for the turtles may be to become a vertical model to control all supply-side risk. But there’s still the issue of how quickly and how expensive it is for both new and old-world retailers to innovate, adapt, build, buy, collaborate, re-tool, re-engineer and otherwise re-invent their business models. In the emerging 7th Kingdom of life concept of evolution, survival of the fittest will not be the human species, but rather technology as a whole system. Tech retail is looking like both the tortoise and the hare at the finish line.

There’s a dirty little secret underneath the happy veneer of all these startup entrepreneurs. The need for speed, forced by a demanding consumer who seems to be running everyone’s business, is built on a distortion – an illusion. The customer is calling the shots, expecting greater speed, more personalization, free-everything and immediate response through conversational commerce. The traditional retailers are running as quickly as they can (mostly in place) to build, buy or find platforms and systems to deliver faster and faster. But, seriously, this is like turning around an aircraft carrier, exacerbated by a non-tech culture and staff ill-equipped with the skillsets critical to success in a digital economy. The online retailers are positioned further up the innovation curve with nimble models and highly trained, digital native staffs with an intuitive understanding how technology works. But the cost of customer acquisition is a challenge, and even funded by forgiving investors, they’re not making tons of net profit either. So in both cases, retailers are speeding towards a wall, all in the spirit of an impossible mission of trying to fulfill customer expectations that are so unrealistic that they are potentially putting everyone out of business in the process.

So what is a retailer to do? Their new skillset is retail engineering. Their role is risk manager, and their business model is going to need a portfolio approach. Not everyone can offer cloud services to prop up their unprofitable retail divisions, but it’s going to take a diversified constellation of businesses to stay afloat. Think Alibaba, which could be destined to eclipse Amazon (if for some shocking reason Bezos falters in his goal to rule the word) as the dominant global player. Alipay is used in Alibaba malls and corner shops (with no cash registers) as well as online to complete a self-serving circle. Other megatrends? Mindfulness of resources. Supply the demand, not offer enormous inventories of irrelevant merchandise. Think: just enough. Automation will be the future of work. Blockchain is the future of secure fintech transactions. Data is the new oil. Apps are dead; mobile phones will recognize all bar codes. There will be a digital ID in the cloud for everything. Products will talk to you, reminding you, for example, that this is the third time you have bought this brand of wine. Immersive storytelling is the communications tool of choice for next gen consumers. Trust is key to managing vulnerability and risk. Empathy transcends all. The customer is saying, “You’ve got my attention, don’t squander it.”

So what does all of this have to do with Shoptalk? Everything. They lead the global retail ecommerce conversation. They are building a community of entrepreneurs to drive meaningful change. They are dynamic, not static, and facilitating the blueprint for the future of retail with an integrated conversation that is inclusive. If you want to know what’s happening after what’s happening next, Shoptalk is your ticket. You’ll be surrounded by a lot of smart, happy innovators, and their enthusiasm is contagious upping the game of hope and possibility for retail of the future.

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Home on 59th Street

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Home Bloomingdale'sBloomingdale’s is in the midst of a full-blown, gut-job renovation and remodeling of its New York flagship store home floors…and not a minute too soon.

With all due apologies to Simon and Garfunkel, the last thing Bloomingdale’s wants to do on 59th Street is slow down because it’s moving too fast. And nowhere is that more apparent than on its sixth, seventh and eighth floors which are in the midst of a top-to-bottom renovation involving all of its home furnishings classifications. By the time it’s completed in December, the four cornerstones of the business—home textiles/domestics, housewares, furniture and tabletop—will all have been moved to newly located, built-from-scratch departments, something virtually unprecedented in both Bloomingdale’s and the overall department store history.

New Kids on the Block

The home renovation is part of a bigger picture for the fabled flagship, as over the next 24 months two of the store’s biggest competitors—Nordstrom and Neiman Marcus—will both open their very first stores in Manhattan. Combined with ongoing competition from Saks Fifth Avenue and more specialized players like Bergdorf Goodman, the better and luxury goods department store scene will get significantly more crowded.

In home, Bloomies will not quite have the same issues to deal with as it will in fashion, fragrances and cosmetics. That’s because alone among its top-end department store peers, the company has always maintained a full home furnishings offering, something that has been both a cornerstone and point of differentiation (not to mention a solid profit center). The other boys on the luxury block have chosen to stay away from home, at least when it comes to their physical stores. Nordstrom’s has tucked a small home boutique, consisting largely of soft home accessories, tabletop and candles, into a corner of most of its stores but leaves larger purchases to the online side. Same for Saks and Neiman’s, which have even more limited physical presences, mostly art glass, tabletop luxuries and the occasional frou-frou decorative pillow.

So the pressure from competitors old and new alike is not quite the same in home as for other classifications. That didn’t stop Bloomingdale’s from making the major investment to redo its home floors on a scale not seen in most of our business lifetimes.

Following the Bouncing Departments

A tour of what’s been completed so far—housewares debuted in January and domestics in late spring—gives a viewer (not to mention a shopper) a pretty good idea of what to expect in the new redo. First, some logistics. Housewares, which had occupied half the sixth floor, has been moved up to the eighth floor, which had previously been a children’s wear floor. Once that space was cleared, home textiles was moved down to six. That has freed up the seventh floor, where tabletop will be relocated from the other half of six. That is scheduled to be completed by the fall. Finally, furniture, which had been on five, will take over the old tabletop space on six. Got it? Scorecards are available for those of you following along at home. So, what does it all look like so far?

Housewares

The first department to move, housewares, was relocated into a slightly smaller footprint, which says all you want to know about the relative strength of this business for Bloomingdale’s. Housewares is a tough business for any retailer, particularly small electrics which is a cauldron of price comparing hell, made worse by the fact that now shoppers can search online for a specific brand by model, color and features. That Bloomies chose to cut back the space given to this category, even slightly, is not surprising.

The new housewares floor does not have the broad, open panorama layout the old department had, accentuated by what are particularly low ceilings for a retail space. The floor is cut up into various pieces, usually by classification but sometimes by brand. Space is given to the Sparrow and Wren house brand, a label the store launched a few years back squarely targeted at millennials. There is a demo kitchen area off to the side of the floor and Bloomingdale’s is promising a full schedule of cooking classes, demonstrations and assorted guest chefs. On the old floor, the kitchen area, while smaller, was more prominently front and center on the floor. This is the kind of in-store experience that the retailer will need to milk for all it’s worth to get shoppers off their screens and into the store.

Getting more floor space is the fastest growing category in housewares: hydration. You may think this has to with skin cleansers and assorted potions because most people who are looking for these products call them what they are actually are: water bottles. By whatever name, their sales smell just as sweet these days.

Even before the move, Bloomingdale’s made a major switch in one of the touchstone categories within housewares: gadgets. For those of you who are neither cooks nor buyers, gadgets are the never-ending lines of potato peelers, lemon zesters, can openers, spatulas and assorted kitchen doodads that seem to multiply every year at rabbit-like paces. Any retailer in the business is faced with a major merchandising dilemma: show these products by brand so that the packaging lines up all neat and nice or show by product classification, not nearly as organized but set up so a shopper can see all the measuring spoons in one place rather than hunt around among many brands.

Bloomingdale’s, like many retailers, had always gone with the former display model for years and its wall of gadgets was picture perfect. Last year it switched to showing by product and that has been retained on the new floor. Your search for a melon baller is now easier …if not as aesthetically pleasing. Housewares departments tend to be more seasonal in their merchandising than other home areas so this month’s lemonade jugs and plastic drinkware will be turkey basters and oversized roasting pans next time you come back. Sprinkled throughout the department are some whimsical signage, upscale fixturing—most of the inventory is back in the stockroom to give the floor a cleaner look—and focused lighting. But there’s no getting around that low ceiling and the lack of dramatic vistas, a challenge the store will face as the department settles in.

Domestics

They still use that term, domestics, in the retailing world and in fact many shoppers refer to sheets and towels and such the same way, but home textiles is the more up-to-date label for the department, which in fact is very much more up to date. The home textiles area is the only one of the home categories that will get an increase in size, reflecting its positioning as an important element of the Bloomingdale’s merchandising mix. The department’s migration from its legendary former seventh floor is a fascinating one. The seventh floor is where you truly see that the 59th Street store is really a mismatched mélange of multiple buildings that were joined together … as best as they could be. The old department was on no less than four different levels and was probably about the most awkward space in modern American retailing. It was also among the most profitable home spaces. Nobody’s showing us the numbers but within the trade this floor was generally considered a virtual goldmine of profitability for Bloomingdale’s, with sales per square-foot totals approaching the lower ends of fashion accessories.

If there were awards for hazard pay for visual merchandisers, the 59th Street home textiles crew would have won it every year. On the new floor there are no such issues. The expansive space features 70 display beds on the floor, double the number on the old floor with the appearance of even more due to dramatic sightlines and vistas. Bedding is loosely split into casual and formal presentations though sometimes the line may be more in the buyer’s eye than the shoppers’.

There are dedicated shops for core brands like Sferra, Frette and Ralph Lauren and also a refreshing assortment of new, smaller brands not generally available elsewhere.

Again, most inventory is off the selling floor, requiring help from floor personnel. But there is one clever corridor that resembles a giant, walk-in linen closet for self-service. It’s a feature that can be rolled out fairly easily to smaller stores one would think. At the back of the department is towels, which is the holy grail of textiles margins, and if it’s a bit underwhelming, the Bloomingdale’s executives will be the first to admit they need to get it better. Attempts to get towels off the infamous “solid-color wall” are laudable but there still needs to be more pop in the department commensurate with its revenue.

One of the problems is a quirk of the store that retail archeologists of the future will no doubt have a field day with. In this former housewares department, there used to be a restaurant modeled after a French railroad dining car called Le Train Bleu. Turns out that getting the space, which was entered via a short staircase, up to American Disabilities Act code was prohibitively expensive so store designers just sealed it up like a culinary time capsule waiting to be discovered a couple of retail lifetimes down the road. Its effect on the towel department, which sits underneath it, is that the area has a low ceiling, limiting display options. But one has to think the Bloomingdale’s store designers are too good not to figure out a creative solution to this … well, train wreck of a situation. Whether the store will have the kind of sales per square-foot in home textiles it had in the old department remains to be seen. But clearly it is making a statement that good old domestics remains very important to its overall merchandising strategy.

Still to Come

Next up will be tabletop, which inherits the old home textiles space of the jigsaw puzzle, although execs say some smoothing out of the floor plan is in the works.

Tabletop had previously been shown in a circular layout that wrapped around a central rotunda. It was an interesting idea that probably sounded better on paper than it was in actuality. While it kept the customer in motion it probably made shopping a bit of a process for those trying to locate a piece of Waterford stemware. It’s hard to know in advance whether the department will get less real estate but it certainly wouldn’t surprise anybody if that turns out to be true. Tabletop is generally a classification in a slow but steady decline, the victim of a more casual lifestyle that eschews formal dinnerware, sterling silver flatware and crystal goblets. And while bridal registry remains the cornerstone of tabletop, all of those competing registries at Home Depot, Best Buy and Lululemon are taking their toll. There are those who expected tabletop to be adjacent to housewares as it was in the previous configuration since there are some overlaps. Whether Bloomingdale’s chose to split them up as a matter of floor space allocation versus merchandising game plan is unknown.

The last piece of the puzzle will be furniture, another category department stores don’t quite know what to do with. With special orders, large floor space needs and delivery, it is the antithesis of the modern department store M.O. But Bloomies has chosen to keep furniture in its mix to be able to offer a full compliment of home merchandise so a customer can get everything they want under one roof. It looks like furniture will get a reduced footprint too but one wonders if there are discussions to bring back the fabled Bloomingdale’s Model Rooms of the Marvin Traub era. They were expensive to produce, took up valuable real estate and probably never paid their way, but as a tool to get people into stores in this age of experience-based shopping, they may be a concept whose time has come back. We’ll see … although I wouldn’t keep my fingers crossed on this one.

You have to commend Bloomingdale’s management — and their Macy’s Inc. overlords — for making the financial investment to redo home. Certainly those funds could have been spent on more showcase departments like fashion accessories but it says a lot about the role the store places on home in its overall strategy. That old 59th Street song talking about feeling groovy may be a dated way to say it, but home clearly remains…well, dope for Bloomingdale’s.

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Authentic Brands Group, The Brand Doctor

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Authentic Brands GroupEver wonder where your once-beloved brand went when you no longer see it in your department store of choice? Did it get acquired, go bankrupt, or did it find a new home among one of the handful of brand management companies that buy a brand’s intellectual property? Authentic Brands Group (“ABG”) is the latter option, and could be considered a brand hospital, where iconic brands that lost their luster get dusted off. Their heritage DNA gets mined, restored and repositioned to be relevant today.

For ABG brand, Juicy Couture, it’s a return to its 90s athletic casual leisure wear Southern California origins (a harbinger of the Lululemon lifestyle success); for Jones NY, classic and timeless work apparel has been updated for today’s busy lifestyles and trends; and for Judith Leiber, all the quality of hand-set Swarovski crystals are reset in new exciting renditions under the vision of Dee Ocleppo Hilfiger.

ABG is relatively new to the licensing scene. Started in 2010 by Jamie Salter and backed by a $250 million initial investment by Leonard Green & Partners, and a more recent 2016 investment by Lion Capital, ABG is a brand management company that strives to acquire consumer brands with international awareness and global growth potential across multiple categories and channels. Today the ABG portfolio spans three verticals: Celebrity & Entertainment, Lifestyle, and Sports, with 28 brands ranging from Marilyn Monroe to Shaquille O’Neal, Aeropostale to Judith Leiber, and Tretorn to Hickey Freeman. In total, retail sales across 650 or so ABG licensing partners approach $5.5 billion, of which approximately 40 percent occur in international markets and 25 percent online. Distribution includes 2000+ ABG-branded stores, department stores, specialty stores and the individual brands’ ecommerce sites and pure-play online retailers.

Salter’s background is steeped in consumer brands; as CEO at private equity firm Hilco Consumer Capital he was instrumental in investments in distressed, as well as growth consumer-branded companies—and was similarly engaged at GSI Commerce. With nearly 30 years of experience in recognizing brand value and nurturing branded businesses, Salter and the ABG team are well positioned to help ailing department stores by carrying familiar (old) brand names in relevant (new) clothing with the potential to appeal across multiple demographics and price points.

Global Brands with Category Expansion

When looking at potential brands for the ABG portfolio, in addition to the brand attributes of emotion, lifestyle, legacy and equity, Salter says, “As a general rule, we are very concerned with whether the brand is global or not and if there is room for category expansion. Look at the brands we bought in the last three-four years, they all have international exposure, even Jones NY, known as a classic American brand. Then, we look at what happened to the brand; was the business model flawed? When you look at Juicy Couture, it over-focused on fashion to the neglect of athletic leisure trend, which as we all know has become mainstream. It was very clear to ABG that a return to its roots in tracksuits would drive Juicy’s success around the world.”

I was there when ABG’s president & CMO Nick Woodhouse accepted the FashInvest Brand Innovator award in December 2013, only two months after the ABG purchase of Juicy Couture from Fifth & Pacific (née Liz Claiborne). I was skeptical as Woodhouse discussed the development of a new Juicy Couture contemporary line for the international and U.S. wholesale markets, while executing Kohl’s distribution in the U.S. How, I thought, could the brand avoid tarnishing its fashion image with customers by selling into these two disparate channels? Four years—it seems like a millennium—later, I can see how. And it’s not only Juicy Couture that is in Kohl’s and Bloomingdale’s best-of-class global athletic brands, Nike and Under Armour are on the Kohl’s selling floor. Even if the product is dissimilar, if the price-value equation is strong, shoppers aren’t the snobs brand managers once assumed. The Great Recession of 2008, along with the transparency of the digital age, changed consumer attitudes. Shoppers are put off by inconsistent pricing across various channels for the same goods. Juicy Couture was a sought-after brand with great appeal, youthful and sexy, comfortable and flirty—and not too expensive. Its founders, Pamela Skaist-Levy and Gela Nash-Taylor, were early adopters of celebrity alignment—to grow brand awareness and create aspirational demand. But when too many department stores got the same goods and they competed with Juicy Couture-branded stores and outlets, the brand became over-distributed and a victim to severe price competition.

Limited Distribution and Data are Key

One of the key differentiators of ABG’s strategy is a strong and comprehensive brand management ethos. Decisions aren’t made to make a quarter, in part reflecting its private-company status, but also in the long-term recognition that these brands are valuable and retain their value by selective distribution, which creates aspirational desire while at the same time protecting pricing architecture. Salter elaborated, “We are in it for the long haul and are committed to growing our brands through natural extensions and distribution channels. We don’t logo-slap and never will. No matter how enticing an opportunity is, we are more focused on strategic long-term partnership.” As a for-instance, Salter uses a hypothetical example with the Marilyn Monroe brand. A Monroe fragrance opportunity with a mass retailer might potentially provide 10x the royalty of the brand’s famous Chanel No.5 endorsement. But the partnerships with Chanel create a halo effect, which builds brand affinity and ultimately results in a stronger and more elevated positioning. “If you are in it for the short term, you will take the first option. But ABG is in it for the long run, we will own the brands forever, so it doesn’t make sense to take a short-term deal.

“Given the scope of the brand portfolio, harnessing digital intelligence and using it is increasingly an ABG competitive advantage. Our digital innovation group manages over 20 branded social media accounts in-house with a combined following of more than 211 million. They are constantly engaging with our customers, while extracting key demographic data, as well as hobbies, interests, etc. This helps us gauge what and where the demand is for new categories and brand extensions. We know when wide leg jeans are in and when millennial pink is the hot color. We see the trends much earlier because we are monitoring across many different types of brands.”

Building brand value includes creating content. Woodhouse explains, “We are becoming a full-content machine with music, movies, television shows. We believe content is the biggest driver in brand development.” This effort encompasses storytelling, social media and influencer activation. ABG has a Digital Innovation Group spearheading these activities, in addition to mobile applications and digital monetization. A Brand Experience Team is responsible for overseeing stores, international partner relations, brand asset management and brand/partner/consumer events.

I recently visited ABG’s NY headquarters where I saw the Jones NY collection, updated with sleek silhouettes and a minimalist Theory/Jil Sander look. A truncated color schema and long, lean lines; elegant, urban sophistication and timeless. Juicy Couture was a trip down memory lane, with its insouciant pink, fushia and black signature velours, with sparkling crown icons and Juicy written you know where. Judith Leiber is set for a significant relaunch this fall with new product designed by Dee Ocleppo Hilfiger, who has brought vigor and rock ‘n roll to precision-set Swarovski crystals to create Judith Leiber for today’s luxury customer. These bags will totally make any Kardashian sparkle!

Jones NY and Juicy Couture at Retail

Local NY channel checks found Juicy Couture on the second floor of Bloomingdale’s, amidst sports apparel. The merchandise includes a select assortment of tracksuits and felt great on the selling floor. The velour is better than most, a great tactile experience that begs the shopper to buy now-wear now. At Lord & Taylor on the 4th floor I had to ask around to find Jones NY. These retail partners aren’t giving the brands the best real estate, but they are giving the brands a chance. If the product is good—and it is—and if ABG can work its marketing magic, these brands can regain some of their former glory. There is more than an ebb of emotive tissue connecting women (and in the case of Juicy, young girls too) with these American heritage brands.

On Juicy Couture, Salter is the first to say, success is a team effort, “Not only the ABG team, also eight licensing partners on the product side and a dozen (licensing partners) on the distribution side.” Great quality product is fundamental to a brand’s success, so lots of time and effort is put into designing and showcasing product. “When we buy a brand it takes us about two years to put the right management and partners in place to take it to the next level. Juicy is running on all cylinders now.”

Less is more as far as distribution is concerned at ABG. Select distribution is key to brand vitality, over-distribution, the death knell. Salter said they felt strongly about Jones NY. Historically it was the go-to choice for the working woman, but available everywhere and under a number of sub labels and price points, it gradually lost its appeal. Today’s woman doesn’t choose the same “workwear” pieces she once did. By regionalizing the business, updating designs to reflect the modern woman’s lifestyle, tightening up distribution and launching new marketing campaigns, ABG believes this onetime $1 billion brand can make a comeback.

Burgeoning Global Middle Class the Opportunity

The ABG team is on its way to building a leading marketing and product/merchandise-focused brand management. The team of 140+ is steeped in retail, wholesale and ecommerce operating experience; they speak the same language as their licensing and retail partners. One of the biggest future opportunities for ABG as Salter sees it is to acquire bigger brands and, more importantly, international brands. The international part of the business is very promising with the expanding middle class around the globe. “Ten years ago we didn’t have the burgeoning middle classes of India, the Middle East, and Latin America. In Mexico, we have 130-140 ABG-branded stores. International growth afforded by great brands, that’s our future.”

ABG has a solid brand management approach and is using data proactively to anticipate consumer trends. Can they alone save department stores? Of course not, but they can be part of the save. There are many ways to get brands with emotional content to the consumer, and ABG is unencumbered with physical assets that make pivoting difficult. This is a promising business model and one of the disruptive forces in retail today.

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Kudos to Kohl’s CEO Kevin Mansell –“Greatness Agenda” Kicks In

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Kohl's Kevin MansellA winning quarter does not necessarily qualify as a turnaround. But, the initiatives and strategies CEO Kevin Mansell and his team planted during what I questioned might have been a flatlining period (Is Kohl’s Flatlining?) (roughly between 2012 and 2016) reflect that they knew what was needed to transform their old-world model into a winning new-world model.

And Kohl’s stellar holiday season could very well be an indication that their “Greatness Agenda” is beginning to kick in. With sales rising 6.9 percent, (a 30 percent online increase), compared to its competitors: Macy’s up 2.24 percent; J.C. Penney up 3.4 percent; and Target up 3.78 percent, this could be the spark that fires a sustainable upward trajectory.

The Two-Point Preemptive Distribution Strategy That Set the Stage

First, I need to point out that Kohl’s brilliant distribution strategy, which began in the early 90s (which Mr. Mansell described to me as “just common sense”), provides the perfect platform for a competitive advantage today, and on which all of their other “greatness” strategies can easily be integrated.

Kohl’s distribution strategy and entire value proposition was focused on, and organized around one consumer target: the 35- to 55-year-old working mom. She had kids, lived in the suburbs and did not have the time to travel to, and shop through, the malls. Think about the target consumer as point #1. Kohl’s roughly 1160 stores are not (ironically) anchored to the traffic killing and largely dying malls. So, what did the Kohl’s “just common sense” brilliant strategists do? They brought Kohl’s to their customers by identifying the neighborhoods where these moms resided and placing freestanding stores almost literally across the street from where they lived.

Point #2: Kohl’s did not stop with convenient store locations. They holistically engineered the entire shopping experience around saving time for the time-starved working mom. The footprint averaged about 86,000 square feet typically on one floor, with wide aisles, central check-out, shopping carts for ease of traversing the store and huge parking lots for quick in and quick out.

Call it common sense or brilliant strategy — who cares? During those meteoric growth years, they were hijacking sales from every nearby mall. At one point, Kevin Mansell said, “Kohl’s intercepts that working mom on her way to the mall,” thus physically stealing a potential customer from every store in each mall. And of course, one of those stores would be JC Penney, who one analyst said lost around $10 billion to Kohl’s during its blistering growth period.

Kohl’s was the poster child for what I coined “preemptive distribution” in my co-authored book, The New Rules of Retail. And this common-sense strategy for Kohl’s was so brilliant that they experienced two decades of explosive growth from a little over $1 billion in sales in 1992 with 79 stores, continuing with hardly a hiccup through the recession of the late 90s, and then rolling over a speed bump in 2004, and on into 2012 racking up sales of $18.8 billion across 1150 stores.

The New World “Greatness” Strategies for Winning

Based on recent comments reported from the ICR conference in Florida and CNBC news coverage, it seems apparent that Mr. Mansell and likely successor, Michelle Gass, have decided to redefine their 1160 physical buildings and online site as platforms and not retail stores. This is a major step to transforming the old retail model. A platform (with Amazon as the poster child) is a place (digital or physical) upon which anything and everything, including competitive brands and/or other retailers, and/or services, can operate independently on, or with, the host platform (Kohl’s) – as long as they are synergistic or compatible with its portfolio of products and services, even if they are competitive.

Mansell told CNBC that about 300 of their 1160 locations will operate with less space; Kohl’s will lease that now not needed space to other retailers. They are focusing on targeting high-traffic retailers, like grocery and convenience stores. I’m sure their test with Amazon shops is already bringing more young traffic into their stores. Amazon at Kohl’s is selling some devices and also taking appointments to go to consumers’ homes to help setting up smart homes. Amazon’s “get” is that the eventual 1160 Kohl’s locations (my opinion) will become distribution and delivery platforms for pick-ups and returns, shrinking the “last mile.” I also opined that Amazon may ultimately acquire Kohl’s for all the obvious reasons. (Kohl’s/Amazon – Win Win?)

Kohl’s is also pursuing, but not nearly as fast as I would advise, the opening of seven new, smaller store formats as a test. Come on guys! This was your brilliance 25 years ago when you began the “in your neighborhood” winning strategy. This strategy makes it even more convenient for online shoppers to pick up in stores and also plays into how millennials like to shop today — with more intimacy and better service, hunting through smaller boutiques for special, exclusive stuff. Accelerate this initiative Ms. Gass!

I don’t think Mansell or Gass will limit their vision of how vast their platforms can be. We already have seen the limitless-ness of Amazon’s global platforms. Hey, if I were Children’s Place and Kohl’s, I would be talking to each other. Think of the new millennial mom traffic Kohl’s would get. And think about Children’s Place being on 1160 Kohl’s platforms almost overnight, with low-to-no capital investment.

Along with right-sizing, the smaller neighborhood store initiative, and ramping up its omnichannel strategy, Kohl’s has some other initiatives on its greatness agenda. One is rolling out new beauty shops within the stores. Penney’s experience with Sephora has yielded $600 per square foot a year, compared to Kohl’s miserable productivity in the beauty space over the past many years. Beauty is a go-to physical destination for women who cannot sample or apply beauty online.

Other strategies in the works include a continuing focus on perfecting the seamless integration of their digital and physical platforms (admittedly, they were a little slow out of that starting gate). They reorganized their merchandising operations and are improving and adding to their private brand line-up. They are also bringing in new and younger brands like Under Armour, Nike, Puma, Izod, Apple and Fitbit. Activewear in general has bumped sales up in the category by 30 percent.

Kohl’s continues to improve their data analytics to drill down to personalizing each consumer’s shopping journey, as well as to better assort merchandise according to different consumer preferences in different regions and/or markets. Kohl’s is also launching a new loyalty program to personalize offers for all of its customers, not just Kohl’s cardholders. These personalization efforts could lead to more decentralized, localized decision making.

The Kohl’s Advantage in the New World

On a macro strategic level, Kohl’s can leapfrog from the base they first established in the 90s with their 1160 platforms that have “endless aisles,” both physically and digitally. And I believe that Kohl’s understands this amazing opportunity and knows how to implement it. I predict Kohl’s will be a powerful new-world contender … soon.

The post Kudos to Kohl’s CEO Kevin Mansell – “Greatness Agenda” Kicks In appeared first on The Robin Report - .

Crate Expectations

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Crate & BarrelIt was the best of locations. It was the worst of decisions.

With apologies to a Dickens mash-up. the news that Crate & Barrel is going to be closing its Michigan Avenue flagship store in Chicago says as much about the state of American retailing as any single business decision we’ve seen in a long, long time.

On the one hand, the 43,000-square-foot showplace no doubt cost a boatload of money to operate. Even though former Crate owner Gordon Segal is reported to still own the actual building, rent ain’t cheap on the Miracle Mile in Chicagoland. In a shopping area dominated by tourists and local sightseers one can imagine there weren’t a lot of shoppers doing serious furniture buying and decorating duty at the location. No doubt the store sold lots of take-with doodads and small entertaining kitchen and table wares but on paper the productivity was probably pretty dismal.

But on the other, you don’t find many locations that are any more high-profile, prestigious and memorable as the one at the corner of Michigan and Erie. With full glass windows from top to bottom, highlighted internal escalators and dramatic lighting that made the building look positively enchanted at night, this store was the very personification of the branding statement that every retailer in America is striving to own.

And yet Crate’s owner, the German-based Otto Group, is shutting it down.Even more telling for the transition going on in retailing, the new tenant for the space will be Starbucks, which will open its third “Roastery,” a kind of coffee shop-meets-amusement park sometime next year.

How ironic that Starbucks chose the location for its own retail branding statement while C&B made the decision it didn’t need this one anymore.

What is it about physical branding that American retailers don’t get? A few years back, Toys’R’Us closed its iconic Times Square store – the one with the Ferris wheel and other assorted destination-driven attractions – saying it was no longer economically viable. Say, didn’t TRU file for bankruptcy last year? No one is suggesting that’s what will happen with Crate. As part of a privately owned foreign company no one outside really has any idea how they are doing financially. And you get it that the return on the real estate investment of the Michigan Avenue store didn’t work for the accountants.

But as the centerpiece of the company’s efforts to reach shoppers, whether they bought that day, the next day at another store or the next week online, that store symbolized exactly the right approach that retailers need. In the end it’s a far, far worse thing they have done. And just another example of the numbers guys having the merchants over a barrel.

Warren Shoulberg is a business journalist who has reported on the home furnishings industry for much of his career. He visited that Crate store every time he was in Chicago and he’s going to miss it next time…a lot.

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Kroger’s Data-Driven Future

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

Much has been written in The Robin Report about the epic struggle between Amazon and Walmart for supremacy in U.S retailing. The advantages enjoyed by each of these behemoth retailers is obvious: Amazon is unburdened by physical store locations and ships directly to consumers; Walmart has the advantage of store locations, which are ripe to be refined into experiential venues and service points for online commerce.

We’ll see how the Amazon-Walmart dynamic plays out, but in the meantime, what about mass-scale retailers that aren’t in the broad-line business, such as those in food retailing? What are they doing other than watching the battle royal between their major competitors with bemusement?

Well, up to now, watching the slugfest from afar might have been enough. Food retailing has been uniquely resistant to various disruptors, including the online revolution sweeping through other retailing formats. To a great extent, that remains true to this day. But the disruptors just aren’t going away. Food retailing is being buffeted by the long, ongoing sunsetting of mass-market brands and consumers’ desire to have a bespoke experience across all retailing formats and their electronic devices.

Kroger’s Grand Plan

Now Kroger, the giant of food retailing, is stirring and has big plans for changes intended to keep it squarely in the game. It’s easy to underestimate how big a company Kroger is, especially for those of us in the Northeast where Kroger has no store presence. Elsewhere Kroger is ubiquitous. It’s the nation’s largest conventional food retailer with some 2,800 stores and 450,000 employees. It hosts about 8 million shoppers per week and its annual sales volume is approaching $120 billion.

Given its mass, even small changes undertaken by the chain are complex; larger changes even more so. Kroger’s new openness to facing the complexity of change may be driven by the fact that after an unusually long run of stellar financial performance, its numbers have been slumping lately, along with the value of its equity. The buyout of Whole Foods by Amazon accelerated the downward drift of its equity.

Regardless of motivation, let’s see what Kroger is up to in terms of a plan for change. The main features of the plan include assembling an oversight management team and identifying new uses for consumer-driven data. It will be interesting to see how Kroger intends to finance its changes, which will probably involve a big selloff of assets.

Not long ago, Kroger selected a team of three executives to drive the change program that’s dubbed the “Restock Kroger Plan.” Tapped to lead the effort was Mike Donnelly, newly promoted to executive vice president and chief operating officer following the retirement of the previous incumbent. Working with him were top finance and IT officers. Kroger chairman and CEO Rodney McMullen said the change program would “redefine the food and grocery experience for consumers and drive sales.”

That’s easier said than done. What Kroger is currently pursuing is making greater use of consumer data to bring the company closer to an omnichannel retailer. Kroger has long been a leader is using data in the food retailing arena and has greater data resources than any other food retailer. Yet, along with all food retailers, Kroger still has a long way to go down that road, which is extraordinarily difficult to follow because of the huge number of SKUs in supermarkets.

Specifically, Kroger intends to use data analytics developed by its Kroger Precision Marketing unit to reset supermarkets to prominently display what sells well and downgrade what doesn’t. The plan will involve featuring Kroger’s successful “Simple Truth” private brand range of natural and organic products, reducing pharmacy wait times and possibly boosting its own meal-kit offer. Frequent shoppers will also see stepped-up promotional activity aimed directly at them and their buying preferences, such as special coupon and recipe offers.

Kroger will also expand its proprietary “ClickList” program, which allows consumers to enter an order online and pick it up at a Kroger store. Kroger charges fees of $4.95 or $7.99, depending on the size of the order, for the service. Consumers have been willing to pay the fees without complaint, and if that continues it will relieve Kroger in a big way from the necessity of getting into the costly home-delivery business. Kroger will also shore up its collection-point business by reducing prices to keep them in line with Amazon’s.

Collaboration and Partnerships

All of the changes already cited may pale in comparison to other pending plans. For instance, it’s reported that Kroger may seek an agreement with Ace Hardware to establish home-improvement centers within Kroger supermarkets. Following that logic, Kroger could also partner with numerous other retailers such as those in beauty, fashion, electronics, toy and others to supplement the store-in-a-store concept. In short, Kroger may move toward being more of a broad-line retailer.

To the downside, though, proposed changes will cost a lot to implement across a store network the size of Kroger’s. How will they be financed? Kroger has acknowledged that it’s considering the sale of its convenience-store business, which in itself is a big business. Kroger has more than 780 convenience stores, operating under several names, generating annual sales of $4 billion. Kroger could easily reap $3 billion from a sale of these assets.

Beyond that, Kroger intends to halt the majority of new-store developments for a while, which will liberate a sizable cash flow. It looks like Kroger is pretty serious about its “Restock Kroger Plan.” Kroger’s plan of change should give some inspiration to other retailers being marginalized by changing market dynamics. If a century-old legacy company like Kroger can make the effort, why can’t others, whether new or old?

Here’s an example of what might be done. The relatively new meal-kit business, with players such as Plated, Blue Apron and Hello Fresh, along with some 200 imitators, is teetering on non-viability because of an inability to retain customers. Much needed venture capital is drying up.

They have little to lose by making big changes, maybe by forgetting about the mass market and offering niche solutions, such as regional and ethnic cooking. They could also aim at the dieting market, specializing in certain diets. And why shouldn’t Weight Watchers get into the business?

We can only hope that both new- and old-world companies become nimble enough to address the changes they need to make to keep up with the future.

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Open Sesame: Kroger and Alibaba

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Kroger Alibaba DealIt doesn’t take an enormous feat of memory to recall that quaint term “trade channels.” Yes, there was a time when apparel retailers sold apparel, food retailers sold food and department and mass merchandisers were broad-line retailers selling a little of everything. The channels were clearly distinct one from the other. So, for the most part, trade channels tended to be separate and easily definable.

Well, things have changed. Those channels have all run together to form a mighty river that’s sweeping all forms of commerce into a huge flood. Among the many retailers swept up in that deluge is Kroger. A short time ago, I wrote about the giant food retailer Kroger that’s now engaged in a massive data-driven initiative. Their intention is to redefine its business in many ways, including by breaching its trade channel to become more of a broad-line retailer. It has also evinced a previously unseen interest in online retailing, and getting there by acquisition.

Like far too much in the world of retailing, Kroger was doubtless jarred from its complacency by Amazon and, in this instance, its acquisition of Whole Foods. Polar opposites, Amazon is an e-commerce company, with a few physical stores; Kroger has huge holdings in physical stores, but little in the way of e-commerce. Now, both of them are moving toward the center as each endeavors to acquire more of what it lacks. That seems to be the norm – just look at Walmart’s new-world acquisition streak.

In that vein, it’s of more than passing interest to appreciate the scope of the news that Kroger is interested in forming some sort of alliance with China’s Alibaba, the self-declared largest e-commerce operation in the world. Alibaba redefines omnichannel with its online marketplace, local stores, bank and digital payments and a behemoth search engine.

Back Story

Now for a little background: A little-known fact about Kroger is that it has long experience with doing business in Asia. Quite a few years ago I had occasion to tour several supermarkets in Kyoto and Tokyo, all operated by the then-vibrant Daiei company. Those stores carried many Kroger private label grocery products. I was told that American product typically had a big following in Japan because it was considered exotic and of high quality. I was also told that the presence of the product might suggest a stronger business relationship between Kroger and Daiei. Although that didn’t happen, Kroger was on the ground in Asia long ago.

Also of interest, Walmart just announced that it has forged an alliance with Japanese e-commerce company Rakuten through its Japanese retailing subsidiary. Under that arrangement, Walmart will sell groceries on Rakuten. In reciprocity, Rakuten will supply e-books to Walmart.

So, with that bit of background, the possible alliance between Alibaba and Kroger takes on some clarity. My guess is that Kroger could supply grocery items to Alibaba, most likely its fairly new “Simple Truth” store brand line of organic and natural product, which spans several product categories. That line alone now represents $2 billion in annual sales volume in the US for Kroger.

In return, Alibaba might provide a product line to Kroger, but more likely it will provide Kroger with some valuable expertise in consumer-data analytics or online payment platforms. Kroger already does as well as any complex grocery company does with analytics, but just about everything is on the table for improvement. Quid pro quo, Kroger could also provide Alibaba with its data expertise concerning the American market.

Finally, and not incidentally, if we needed any more proof of Kroger’s interest in all things online, consider that Kroger tried to acquire boxed.com, the online bulk-product retailer, for as much as $400 million. Kroger lost out to a superior bid, although the bidding process isn’t over, so it’s not clear who will end up the winner.

We’re now in the midst of another huge wave of disruption in the grocery sector that will doubtless sweep some away.

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Why the Late Ingvar Kamprad Changed the World

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Ingvar KampradChances are the name Ingvar Kamprad doesn’t mean much to the typical home furnishings shopper, but take his initials – I and K – and combine them with the first letters of the farm he grew up on – Elmtaryd – and his nearby village – Agunnaryd – and you have four letters that make up one of the most recognizable names in the world: IKEA.

Kamprad founded the retailer when he was 17 and when he died this weekend 74 years later he had achieved what few in the history of retailing – not Sam Walton, not Richard Sears and Alvah Roebuck, not Mickey Drexler – have ever done. Not only did he revolutionize the way people shop for furniture and home furnishings but he did it on a global scale unprecedented in worldwide business. IKEA told consumers they didn’t have to be intimidated when they bought furniture, worried that it would be the right decision for the next 30 years of their (and their kids) lives. Buy this credenza, just put it together, it’s a great value with timeless styling, and after a few years if you get tired of it – or it falls apart when you try to move it – it’s OK: you got your money’s worth.

Nobody had ever approached these product categories this way before, and hardly anybody has learned how to copy the formula in home. But it’s quite clear that without IKEA, we wouldn’t have H&M, Zara and their ilk in fashion. IKEA did not remain a Swedish phenomenon…or even just a European business. It has expanded throughout the world and now operates about 310 stores in nearly 40 countries, including franchises.

None of it would have happened with Kamprad, whose philosophy of simply designed, inexpensive products, sourced from around the world and sold in giant destination stores – is unequaled in the retailing world. And if his reputation was blemished by past associations with European fascism—which he later admitted he deeply regretted — it does not diminish his contributions to the retailing business. Not bad for a farm boy from Sweden who told people he just liked to be thrifty. Some $47 billion a year in sales later, that philosophy furnishes homes all over the planet.

Warren Shoulberg is a business journalist specializing in the home furnishings industry. He visited the first US IKEA outside Philadelphia soon after it opened in 1985. He bought a lamp.

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It’s Cold in Minnesota: Menswear Brand Askov Finlayson Wants to Keep it that Way!

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Askov FinlaysonFor those who have not yet had the pleasure of visiting Minneapolis in winter, I can testify from firsthand experience, it is a bone-chilling experience. This year’s Super Bowl is sure to give many more people a taste of the frigid northernmost reaches of the lower 48. Before they head out to Minneapolis’ U.S. Bank Stadium for the game, they are advised to swing by the Askov Finlayson shop in the North Loop neighborhood to get properly outfitted to face the cold.

Brothers Andrew and Eric Dayton founded Askov Finlayson in 2011 as a men’s clothing store, for which they won accolades from Esquire and GQ as one of the 10 best men’s stores in America. With their deep understanding of their customers’ needs, they then turned to designing and making their own namesake brand of clothing specifically “inspired by Minnesota’s traditions of exploration” and designed for “year-round enjoyment of the outdoors.”

Askov Finlayson’s flagship product was its North Hat, an affordable $29 stocking cap with a pompom made in neighboring Cloquet, Minnesota. They have since expanded the product line to include sweaters and tops, pants, shoes and accessorizing “gear,” in casual style fit for all that Minnesota’s climate can throw at a man, or woman who chooses to go unisex.

The core branding story that grounds Askov Finalyson is to “Keep The North Cold,” and everything in the product line follows that mantra. Further the company backs up the brand promise with an official “Keep The North Cold” initiative, which gives money to local organizations in support of the cause, such as Green Lands, Blue Waters, a 2018 grantee, that promotes a Continuous Living Cover program to keep soil covered year around with living ground covers.

With its unparalleled success in outfitting Minnesota natives, Askov Finlayson is now looking beyond the state’s borders to take its message and brand to the rest of the country starting with a limited time collaboration with Target, in line with the upcoming Super Bowl events being marketed around the “Bold North” theme.

The brothers’ Dayton had an obvious in with Target, as their great-great-grandfather was George Draper Dayton, founder of Dayton’s department store, which later became Target Corporation. The “Askov Finlayson for Target” collection will feature 50+ items designed to help people enjoy winter. And it is critical to the brothers that the collection maintain the brand’s “Keep The North Cold” integrity with items sourced in the U.S., like its mugs and ceramic candle holders from Red Wing, and where possible, from companies that make their home in Minnesota. So, for example, the hats for Target are made in the same town as Askov Finlayson North Hats, the only difference being Target’s hats will be pompom-less and at $15, half the price.

Also in keeping with Askov’s cause-related efforts, both Target and Askov have pledged to make matching grants to Wilderness Inquiry, a local nonprofit that gives underprivileged children outdoor adventures.

Growing a Regional Brand to National Scale

Now it is time for Askov Finlayson to scale. Its name is a mouthful, but also memorable in its unfamiliarity. The company says its name is derived from two neighboring towns in Northern Minnesota that share a highway exit.

The brothers Dayton feel that to expand the brand, the company must to step up its design proficiency to expand its product range, which until now has been handled by the brothers. “Everything Askov has done up until now has been my brother and me serving as the designers,” Eric said. “I don’t consider myself a designer, which is why we really need one.”

Initially Askov Finlayson growth plans focus on ecommerce, following in the footsteps of Eric’s college buddy Neil Blumenthal, Warby Parker co-founder and CEO, which has partnered with the brand since 2015 in a Warby Parker shop-in-shop inside the Askov Finlayson’s store. “Minneapolis is quickly establishing itself as a hotbed of design intelligence, and Askov Finlayson is a prime example,” Blumenthal said. “Andrew and Eric Dayton founded their company with an eye toward style, integrity and doing good in the world.”

And being a cause-driven company dedicated to keeping the North cold, Askov Finlayson will take that message national too. It has just launched a new “Give 110% initiative to make its commitment to battle climate-change national. “Starting this year, Askov Finlayson will invest more money fighting climate change than running our business costs the planet,” the company announced. The idea is to measure the company’s carbon footprint and estimate its cost using the Social Cost of Carbon calculation then donate 110% of that amount to major organizations working to solve the climate crisis. They’ve committed $1 million to the cause over the next five years.

In the “Give 110%” program, they are hoping to create a movement behind their cause. “If we lose our winters, if we lose our cold, we’ll lose a lot of what the north means to me,” said Eric. “So it’s a way of tying the business to a cause I feel passionate about, but also a natural fit. It also just happens to be one of the biggest, most pressing issues of our lifetime. So that helped too.”

New Business Model for a New Age

Like another socially-conscious brand, Warby Parker, which donates a pair of glasses for every pair sold and provides much-needed vision care to those in need, Askov Finlayson is making this cause core to the brand. “To me, this is what running a business in 2018 looks like,” he said. “You have to be focused on doing well as a company, but you also need to be focused on and committed to doing good. I don’t see those two things as mutually exclusive. In fact, I think they go hand in hand.”

It is this new business model that Fabian Geyrhalter writes about in his book, Bigger Than This: How to Turn Any Venture into an Admired Brand. Written for brands, like Askov Finlayson, which aren’t creating innovative new products or services, such as Uber, Drybar or Apple, this is a guidebook for commodity brands where the brand stands for something bigger than just the shoes, shirts or furniture that they offer. He writes, “A new wave of commodity brands is winning hearts and is teaching us how to turn any product into an admired brand.”

Geyhalter identified eight common traits of brands that sell commodities and “want to be bigger than this,” bigger than just the mundane products they sell and engage with customers on a deeper level.

The playbook is fully illustrated with case studies of brands that have found out how to become bigger than just the products sold and filled with practical strategies to bring a bigger than this approach to a company. Geyrhalter identifies these key traits for exalting a brand:

  • Story: When the background story is bigger than the product. Stories become the brand glue that draws people to the brand and engages them. It is what transforms a commodity product into a meaningful brand.
  • Belief: When values are bigger than the product. People cluster to common beliefs. They form tribes looking for honest products created by honest people that they can trust. Shared values and beliefs can play a significant role in sparking sales and increasing the value of shares as an added benefit.
  • Cause: When the cause is bigger than the product. The cause has to create true value for the recipients, both the consumer as well as the less-fortunate beneficiary, and it is important to think all the way through to how the product is produced.
  • Heritage: When the sense of location is bigger than the product. Formulating a brand story based on heritage can be an extremely rewarding proposition if a brand can connect the product with the desire of consumers to formulate a deeper connection with the place the brand is known for.
  • Delight: When the small delight is bigger than the product. Make unexpected but thoughtful delights something offered in addition to the product. A small gesture will lead the customer to see you as a friend, which becomes the basis of a lasting relationship.
  • Transparency: When trust is bigger than the product. Most brands compete in a space characterized by opacity and complexity. A brand that is transparent and honest builds community and sets the brand apart from the competition.
  • Solidarity: When solidarity is bigger than the product. It’s the unique ability to show deep empathy for a very specific, often niche audience and to align the brand offerings, story and beliefs around their point of view. The brand becomes the enabler of the group’s goals.
  • Individuality: When customization is bigger than the product. Consumers gravitate toward unique designs, especially the ones that make the brand experience personal to them. Through mass customization brands sell one-of-a-kind commodities.

While Geyrhalter’s book is about new-age brands, it is written specifically for established brands that need to inject some of their new-age thinking into transforming their commodity products and services into something bigger than just the products offered. The need is obvious. “For the first time in history it is more difficult for big brands to gain unconditional consumer trust than it is for a startup,” he states, and goes on to conclude that today, “The ‘why’ and the ‘how’ are winning over the ‘what.’”

Askov Finlayson has incorporated all eight strategies into their brand. They started with innovative thinking and use these ideas to take their brand to the next level. While I may not share Askov’s passion for The North, preferring the Sun Belt myself, I have passion for the brand in their story, belief, cause, heritage, delight, transparency, solidarity and individuality. These are the traits that will set Askov Finlayson apart and make it an important brand in the future. This is new world retail at its best.

The post It’s Cold in Minnesota: Menswear Brand Askov Finlayson Wants to Keep it that Way! appeared first on The Robin Report - .

And It’s Walmart by a Nose Ahead of Amazon for Flipkart

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Walmart WinsWait a second! Just last week I wrote on the race for global dominance between Amazon and Alibaba.  And shame on me for not even mentioning Walmart, especially since I’ve been on a rant about how Walmart is rapidly becoming Amazon’s biggest headache. And now they are about to give Amazon a migraine in the only big ecommerce market still up for grabs: India. Alibaba owns China and Amazon owns the U.S. (albeit looking over their shoulder as the behemoth bears down on them). But India is where these two giants are squaring off.

In review: Millennials make up a third of India’s population giving the country the highest growth potential in the region. According to research conducted by Morgan Stanley, in 2009 the online market in India totaled $3.9 billion. In 2016, it had jumped to $15 billion, and they project it will soar to $200 billion in 2026. According to a report by consulting firm Praxis Global Alliance, Flipkart, including its fashion unit Myntra, is the market leader in India with about a 45 percent share, while Amazon has about a 35 percent share. Snapdeals in India has a minor share and is being eyed by Flipkart as a potential acquisition candidate. Alibaba is a late entrant, and according to CB Insights, they may be in the very early stages of building a super app that will allow it to combine all of its various assets, resembling Tencent’s WeChat app. But currently, Alibaba is only a side show. Amazon and Walmart are battling it out in center ring in this circus.

Amazon and Walmart are both bidding for a stake in Flipkart, valued at around $20 billion (it was launched in 2007 and has yet to be profitable). According to people familiar with the bidding battle, Walmart is a “nose” ahead, intending to acquire a majority stake in Flipkart (it could end up being 50-60 percent) with the objective of increasing Flipkart’s share of market and maintaining its lead over Amazon, thus giving Walmart dominance in the market.

Walmart appears to be favored to win for several reasons.

Out of the box, since Amazon already has the second largest share of ecommerce in India at around 35 percent, they would face major regulatory barriers. Walmart would not (due to their lack of an online presence).

There’s a bit of irony in this move. Walmart has been trying to establish an offline retail business in India for over a decade, but it has been denied because of government regulations protecting India’s mom-and-pop shops. They tried with an offline partner, Bharti Enterprises, but it failed. So, the best toehold Walmart has been able to establish is a chain of 21 Best Price wholesale stores.

Another element that favors Walmart is that Flipkart’s non-strategic investors might find Walmart the most attractive cash-out opportunity and/or best strategic buyer that can provide synergies and more sustainable growth, both online and off. ·One fly in the ointment might be eBay’s $500 million investment for a five percent stake in Flipkart and a four-year exclusive agreement, according to an article in Recode.  So, even if Walmart does acquire a majority stake in Flipkart, as eBay’s deal now stands they would be operating alongside Walmart on the site. Maybe that’s okay with Walmart, maybe not. However, one expert close to the pending Flipkart/Walmart deal believes the behemoth will end up getting what the behemoth wants. I would go with that reasoning. And who knows? Maybe Walmart will find some kind of synergy with eBay, or just let them run out of the four-year contract.

  • Flipkart founders Sachin and Binny Bansal favor Walmart because they would keep their jobs and continue with their personal commitment to the market.
  • With a majority stake in Flipkart, Walmart also brings its substantial offline retail expertise and can start a new physical retail move. By default, Flipkart also gains expansion into the offline market.
  • Flipkart will benefit from Walmart’s omnichannel expertise in the U.S. leveraging the synergy of physical and digital creating a multi-purchasing and distribution platform.
  • And finally, the Jet.com knowledge and framework has an edge over Amazon with its “smart basket” expertise. This algorithmic formula for the most efficient, lowest priced basket of goods is beginning to gain traction in the U.S., and is considered a competitive advantage over Amazon.
  • While Flipkart does not need help in its fashion categories and mobile expertise, Walmart can add value in grocery and hundreds of thousands of basic, daily household goods. Walmart also has a huge number of private label brands to add to the equation in all product categories.

A major advantage that Amazon has had over Flipkart is Amazon Prime with millions of members. To be competitive, Walmart would likely provide a Sam’s Club offering with two membership tiers: one at $100 annually and the other at $45. While Walmart offers this membership program only offline in the U.S., it has been successfully launched in China online with Walmart’s partner, JD.com. Full disclosure, the jury is still out on its relative success.

Who Will Win Flipkart?

At the end of the day, Walmart needs Flipkart more than Amazon. But Mr. Bezos is a competitive guy and no doubt hopping mad that Amazon lost in China against Alibaba, and Walmart has been able to gain ground there through its partial ownership of JD.com. This could take a while. Both Amazon and Walmart have deep enough pockets to withstand a withering bidding war.

However, I don’t believe this is a case of the highest bidder takes all. I believe the government’s regulatory barriers and Flipkart’s leaders and investors favor a Walmart win.

But, I will never rule out Amazon and its aggressive strategy to take over the world. Amazon never ceases to amaze in surprising and awesome ways.

The post And It’s Walmart by a Nose Ahead of Amazon for Flipkart appeared first on The Robin Report - .

Victoria’s Secret: Behind the Curve

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Victoria's SecretWho would’ve thunk it? How could Les Wexner, the IQ leader of leaders in the pantheon of retail greats, not have thunk ahead of the curve about the fact that his iconic Victoria’s Secret brand was behind the curve, so to speak? The reason I’m perplexed about the fact that Wexner apparently did not see a new consumer culture emerging with its new view on intimates is because Les Wexner has been ahead of the curve his entire career. In the mid-60s he was not only ahead of the fashion curve, capitalizing on the new wave of women’s sportswear, he also pioneered the branded retail specialty chain model. Launching The Limited (limited to women’s sportswear), he was also ahead of the fast-fashion curve by innovating a rapid-cycle supply chain, distributing new fashion looks to stores in a matter of weeks vs. seasons. He was also ahead of the curve when in the late 90s he declared apparel retailing “mature,” selling The Limited to focus on Victoria’s Secret and Bath and Body Works.

Worse than being behind the curve, the brand is now between the proverbial rock and a hard spot, a metaphor for the incoming new young consumer culture with their different priorities and desires replacing the outgoing older boomer culture, which is downscaling into retirement, spending less on stuff and more on travel, leisure, entertainment, health and well-being. Furthermore, the aging boomers, once the VS sweet spot, are managing “sexy” in ways that are not necessarily consistent with the brand’s core product and marketing positioning. And then there are the millennials who want authenticity and honesty in the products they choose. The photo-shopped, fantasy VS angels are becoming irrelevant in today’s young consumer culture seeking meritocracy. The desire for an over-the-top plunge/push-up approach to everyday bras is been replaced by bralettes and less structured intimates for a more natural look. Which is not to say beauty has been replaced by utilitarianism. It is more natural beauty. The #MeToo movement has also influenced a more authentic attitude around intimate apparel.

So, if the “hard spot” is the aging culture leaving the brand, the “rock” is the younger culture, larger in numbers, but with smaller pocketbooks and a different style mandate. Ironically, both groups are more interested in the style of life than the stuff of life. And what stuff they do want is driving what’s “in” and what’s not. Younger customers are driving the curve, and in the case of intimate apparel, it’s not just to be falsely curvy. These new world consumers view the hyper-sexualized VS styling and marketing, including the models, as out of touch. Another characteristic of these young consumers is that they embrace diversity, including all body types, which is clearly not in the angel’s brand DNA.

According to a YouGov poll, among 18 to 49-year-old women, the brand’s buzz score (whether consumers are hearing positive or negative things about a brand) dropped more than three points over the past six months to 23. In 2016, it was 31 (for context, Amazon was the number-one brand with a buzz score of 36). By another measure, Victoria’s Secret’s customer satisfaction score dropped by 4.5 points over the past six months to 30 (on a 100-point scale) from a high score of 42 in 2016. And the number of women who said they recently shopped at Victoria’s Secret dropped from 28 percent in 2016 to 17 percent. Even the iconic Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show last November had a 30 percent drop in viewership.

While VS still controls a 27 percent share of market, comp store sales declined every month in 2017, and down six percent in the fourth quarter alone. Sales were down between 10 percent and 14 percent toward the beginning of the year and by single-digit numbers toward the end of the year.

Lose a Share Here, Lose a Share There: Les, You Have a Brand Problem

As this new, largest shopping cohort powers full-on creation of their own new world, Les Wexner will realize that today’s new world “speed boats” (as I like to call the new brand upstarts) now circling his “battleship” picking off a share here and there, have suddenly fired enough shots across the bow that his ship will sink. And it will not solely be a “behind the fashion curve” product problem. It will be a brand problem; the whole enchilada of the brand positioning and the many years and billions of dollars that Victoria’s Secret has spent pounding into our brains precisely what the VS brand stands for. Therefore, it doesn’t even matter if they pivot their fashion styling to serve the desires of the new consumer culture. The merchandise, paired with the brand and what it stands for, will not compute.

VS still promotes a disproportionately higher number of its signature bras over the more popular bralettes. A fashionista I am not, but here are some of the speed boat brands that are nipping away at the battleship’s share: ThirdLove; True & Co; American Eagle’s Aerie; Gap’s Love; Lively; Journelle; L’Agent; and Amazon is planning on bringing its successful UK brand, Iris & Lilly to the U.S.

Maturity Does Not Have to Lead to Death

Far be it for me to express my opinion to the brilliant Mr. Wexner, considering all the curves he was ahead of in his career, including his incredibly successful tenure at Victoria’s Secret. He is a serial entrepreneur and historically knew when to get out. As I said, he declared apparel retailing a mature industry, thus shedding the Express and The Limited businesses to focus on VS and Bath and Body Works. He saw it coming.

But now Victoria’s Secret is likely entering maturity. it doesn’t mean the brand has to die. Levi Jeans and the Gap have significantly declined in size over the years, but they continue to slog along.

So, Mr. Wexner, even though you seem to be behind the curve on this one, enjoy a smaller, mature, and hopefully profitable brand that remains appealing to fewer legacy consumers who still love what it stands for.

I’m just saying…

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The Beauty Industry Faces Its Biggest Challenge, Ever

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From TheRobinReport.com ---

RR Beauty IndustryThe beauty industry is facing the biggest and most complicated period in its history. Some might say, “The beauty industry is broken.” Others may ask, “Are the days of ten-time markups on luxury makeup and skincare products numbered?” Luxury, while barely holding its own now, better be thinking about the day after tomorrow.

Here’s the rub: Do the transparencies enabled by social media and competing websites have premium products on the ropes?” Department stores that carry these luxury brands are fighting to find a good solution to disintermediation thanks to the internet. Even the big beauty companies that have been buying up promising startups are broadening their search for innovative, affordable concepts that will capture customers’ attention and imagination. Price points are pinching luxury brands and lots more acquisition targets with lower priced products are appearing on their menus. more often.

The growing mass market, enabled by digital opportunities, is in many cases infringing on the premium segment. A significantly more educated consumer is realizing that improved mass-market products are in many cases as good as prestige cosmetics. Mass, with their lower prices (in some cases much lower) will facilitate the exponential growth of this already dominant market segment. The numbers reveal all: The mass market today accounts for some seventy percent of all beauty sales.

Beauty companies — in particular Shiseido, L’Oreal and Estee Lauder — are acquiring and partnering with tech companies to gain expertise in artificial intelligence, augmented reality and other technologies. The dramatic shift to digital, particularly by the younger generation, has accelerated the race to replicate the online experience of trying on cosmetics in a store.

In this new experimental and aspirational world, premium brands are going to have to be ready to spin on a dime. New products, new distribution methods and new marketing concepts are three important legs on a brand’s stool. Traditional luxury companies will require a big dose of creativity to stay relevant.

New Directions

The good news for the beauty industry in general is that in the mass market, worldwide demand will continue to grow, especially in Asia and Latin America. New products will be fueled by the availability of new technologies as well as a demand for natural products made in a sustainable way. In some cases, the growth will be dramatic. Skincare will lead the way. The major competition in the category will be how to serve the exploding global customer base, i.e., China, the rest of Asia, Brazil, and the rest of Latin America.

Follow the Money

In China, a growing middle class will provide a significant market for beauty. In the case of the United States and some other countries, a much more complicated ethnic blending evolution will have to continue to take place. The blending of ethnicities will add a new dimension to product development, while companies will concurrently have to serve traditional demographic market segments. The availability of apps that can color match skin tones will make online purchasing dramatically easier.

Storefronts

Overall distribution methods are also changing. We are witnessing declines in department store beauty sales and both brands and stores are trying to figure out how to reverse this trend. Drugstore chains are making a huge push with some success, taking advantage of the opportunity to add more products and catch the movement toward mass beauty. Supermarket and hypermarkets are introducing or broadening their beauty categories. Then add in online sales channels that charge membership fees and source their own products from all over the world. Major brands in Switzerland, Japan, Korea, France, the United States and Italy all utilize the same 10-20 factories.

Investment Spending

While the mass market is set for growth, the self-care industry is exploding and increasing its influences on the beauty industry. Women are beginning to look at beauty products and cosmetic procedures in a new way. They see purchases as an investment rather than an indulgence.

Brands must listen and understand the message this self-care industry is sending. Women today want to reach a level of fulfillment. This means bettering their lives, utilizing a wide range of new products and services that help them reach their wellness goals. They are excited by new products and devices. Today dermatologists are just beginning to use skincare injectables instead of using skincare products on the skin surface. Plastic surgery has peaked and fewer procedures are being performed. Instead, they are being replaced by a variety of new non-invasive products and techniques that provide a more natural look and are far less expensive. Women and men want to age more naturally.

The number of products that could be sold in this area is virtually unlimited including beauty skincare products, injectables, makeup and hair products. Add to that, dermatological products, self-care conferences, videos, devices for use at home and specialized fragrances. There are wonderful opportunities for both established and startup companies in beauty and healthcare to stake their ground in the growing self-care market.

Facing Up to Savvy Consumers

New customers are ready to try products that are marketed transparently and creatively. Better yet, these products need to be sustainable and embrace some philanthropic cause. The movement for authenticity and the power of the truth has become mainstream. Whether it’s prestige or mass, consumers want a dose of honesty with their aspirations for looking good and feeling well. Beauty today is more complicated than it’s ever been. With change comes opportunity for the aware and disaster for the sleepwalkers. So, stay awake and listen to what your customers want. If you don’t, you won’t have any.

The post The Beauty Industry Faces Its Biggest Challenge, Ever appeared first on The Robin Report - .

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